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World Population Prospects

The 2010 Revision, Volume II - Demographic Profiles

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This report presents the 2010 Revision of the population estimates and projections prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. The 2010 Revision constitutes the twenty second round of the global population estimates and projections produced by the Population Division since 1951 and it breaks new ground in the production of population projections. For the first time, projections are carried out up to 2100, instead of 2050 as previously. In order to extend the projection period to 2100, a new method for the projection of fertility was developed. The full results of the 2010 Revision are presented in two volumes. The first volume provides comprehensive tables displaying key demographic indicators for each development group, major area, region and country for selected periods or dates within 1950-2100. The second volume contains demographic profiles presenting time series and plots covering the period from 1950 to 2100 for selected indicators for each country with at least 100,000 inhabitants in 2010 as well as for development groups, major areas and regions.

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International migration

Estimates of net migration between the major development groups show that since 1960 the more developed regions have been net gainers of emigrants from the less developed regions (table IV.1). Furthermore, net migration to the more developed regions has been increasing steadily from 1960 to 2010. During 2000-2010, the more developed regions were gaining annually 3.4 million migrants. About 39% of that net flow was directed to Northern America (1.33 million annually). During 2000-2010, the level of net migration to the more developed regions as a whole changes moderately, reaching a peak of 3.4 million migrants annually. Over the rest of the projection period, net migration to the more developed regions is projected to decline smoothly to about 1.9 million per year during 2040-2050, of which 1.1 million are directed to Northern America.

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