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Trade and Development Report 2011

Post-crisis Policy Challenges in the World Economy

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Reforms of financial regulations are progressing slowly and only at the national level, monetary system reform is limited. After an interlude that some considered as a return to Keynesianism, the orientation of macroeconomic policy, especially fiscal policy, is back to business as usual. This will hinder a sustained recovery of the world economy and open the door for new financial crises. Thus, the rethinking of policies and reshaping the financial and monetary system remain an urgent task. This publication makes concrete proposals on how, and in which priority areas, to advance with strengthening regulation of the financial sector and commodity markets, reform of the international monetary system, and the reorientation of fiscal policy.

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The global monetary order and the international trading system

One of the most intriguing discussions over the past few decades concerns competition among nations. There is a widespread notion that, with the accelerated pace of globalization, countries now have to compete in similar ways as companies. According to one view, the wealth of a nation depends on its ability to effectively adjust to the challenges created by open markets for goods and capital. Accordingly, it is believed that, as economies with low labour standards and inferior capital stocks are emerging as competitors, those with high welfare standards and sophisticated capital endowments are coming under increasing pressure to adjust to changing global market conditions. In particular, it argues that the emergence of a huge pool of idle labour in China, India and other large developing countries threatens to fundamentally reduce the capital/labour ratio for the world as a whole. This in turn would favour the remuneration of capital and have a strong equilibrating effect on labour in rich and poor countries alike, which could lead to a new global equilibrium somewhere in the middle of high and low wage extremes.

English

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