Current conditions and outlook, 2002
- Author: Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean
- Main Title: Economic Survey of Latin America and the Caribbean 2001-2002 , pp 13-38
- Publication Date: October 2002
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.18356/22885d9b-en
- Language: English
Against the backdrop of a very sluggish international economic environment, the reactivation that began in Latin America and the Caribbean in 2000 was short lived. After having stalled in 2001, economic growth is expected to be negative (-0.8%) for 2002, and unemployment is projected to reach a record of over 9%. The severe crisis in Argentina accounts for a great deal of this downturn, however; the growth rates of the rest of the economies in the region have also slackened, but will nonetheless be positive in most cases. In fact, if Argentina is factored out of the totals, then a modest expansion (slightly over 1%) of the region's GDP is projected. Inflation has remained low in most of the countries, with the rise in the regional indicator being attributable to the effects of major devaluations in Argentina and Venezuela.
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