Scenario-Based energy transition pathways
- Author: United Nations
- Main Title: Energy Transition Pathways for the 2030 Agenda in Asia and the Pacific , pp 14-21
- Publication Date: May 2018
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.18356/12afa26a-en
- Language: English
Most countries in the region aim to ramp up access to electricity. The current policy frameworks will push the access to 68 per cent by 2030. However, access to clean cooking fuel would reach only 67 per cent by 2030 compared to 100 per cent required to meet the SDG target. In the current policy scenario, the share of renewable energy, including the traditional use of biomass, will decline by 2.6 per cent. The share of modern renewable energy, excluding the traditional use of biomass, will grow from 6.8 per cent in 2014 to 14 per cent in 2030. Based on the technological maturity and the market potential for renewable energy, the SDG scenario suggests tripling of the renewable energy share to 22 per cent by 2030. The energy intensity of GDP is projected to decline from 6 MJ per dollar in 2014 to 4 MJ per dollar in 2030. By leveraging the synergies between SDGs and NDCs it will be possible to cost-effectively achieve NDC targets for the energy sector by increasing the share of renewable energy to 35 per cent by 2030.
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