Reduced Inequalities
The Central Bank and Chilean macroeconomic policy in the 1990s
Free trade agreements and female labour: The chilean situation
This article analyses the relations between economic integration processes, employment and equality of opportunities between men and women. To this end, the case of Chile is considered, where simultaneous processes of internationalization of the economy, the pursuit of economic integration agreements and the growing incorporation of women into the labour force are taking place. The relation between integration agreements and the labour situation of women derives from three factors. Firstly, the new trade flows affect employment and wages, and there may be a differential effect by sex if the female labour force is concentrated in particular, sectors of production.
The North-South dimension of the environmental and cleaner technology Industries
The environment industry, which includes a wide range of products and services relating to the monitoring, treatment, control and management of industrial and domestic pollution, has grown rapidly during the 1980s and 1990s as a response to environmental regulations. Due to the relatively early application of these regulations in the United States, Europe and Japan, these areas have become competitive producers and exporters of environmental products and services. As the industrial sector has developed, environmental awareness has been raised and competition and international trade in the environment industry have expanded.
Equity, foreign investment and international competitiveness
Is the degree of competitiveness of countries independent of their degree of inequality? Is competitiveness only a question of microeconomic and sectoral efficiency, of the real exchange rate, or is it also a social question? So far, the specialized literature has ignored the problem of equity in the determination of countries’ competitiveness. It has then not been able to fully explain the observed competitiveness, however. In this article, equity is incorporated into the production function and also into investors’ decisions in a world of perfect mobility of capital.
A development strategy founded on natural resource-based production clusters
This article contends that the rapid development of Latin America and the Caribbean - a region rich in natural resources- will depend on how fast it learns to industrialize and process its natural resources and to develop the necessary suppliers of inputs, engineering services and equipment for this. Consequently, this will not be a form of development based on the mere extraction of natural resources, as at present, but rather one based on the processing of such resources and the development of the activities that naturally tend to spring up and concentrate around this base (production complexes or clusters).
Non-agricultural rural employment in Central America
Non-agricultural rural employment accounts for an increasing proportion of total rural employment in Latin America. Its potential for stimulating rural development has been noted, but it has also been analysed as a focal point of poverty. This article considers the magnitude and composition of this employment in some of the Central American countries and examines the conditions under which nonagricultural activities may help to improve rural employment and income.
Access to housing and direct housing subsidies: Some Latin American experiences
Tensions in Latin American structural adjustment: Allocation versus distribution
In the economic history of Latin America, a growing population demanded jobs; creating more jobs required industrialization; and industrialization made it necessary to cover a productivity differential. There were two feasible options for this purpose: i) to preserve allocative efficiency and generate a major regressive income redistribution process; or ii) to lose allocative efficiency but leave the distribution of income largely unchanged. Governments chose the latter and built in lasting distortions in the foreign exchange market. Import substitution industrialization ended in stagnation. Increased pressure in the labour market could have driven wages sharply downward, but instead the informal market arose and, thanks to its monopolistically competitive structure, segmented the goods markets and ensured a minimally acceptable form of income distribution.
Fiscal policy and the economic cycle in Chile
This article studies the effect of the stabilization of fiscal expenditure and the anti-cyclical use of taxes as stabilization variables in the Chilean economy, through the calibration of a basic macro-economic model adapted to the actual conditions of that economy. The results show that some 25% of the variability of economic growth could be eliminated by obviating fiscal cyclical impulses through constant growth of public investment and consumption and through anti-cyclical taxes. On the one hand, it is proposed that a system of stabilization of the growth of fiscal expenditure should be established, through a system of rules and degrees of flexibility subject to specific clauses.
Development thinking and policies: The way ahead
This article takes a long-term view of the evolution of development thinking and policies in Latin America and the Caribbean. It begins by looking at the changes in policy formulation trends, noting that the most abrupt changes of this type occurred, first during the period between the wars, and second, in the early 1980s, and although in both cases changes took place which may be considered as swings of the pendulum or phases in a larger picture, they were nevertheless significant. The author then reviews the economic reforms implemented from the 1980s onwards and highlights their common factors, although these cannot be said to belong to a set paradigm, because of the markedly different ways they were applied in the different countries.
The interplay of macro- and microeconomics
First of all, I would like to express my satisfaction at being here in Central America, and to thank our hosts warmly and sincerely for their support. The United Nations in general and the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean in particular owe a great deal to Costa Rica for its unwavering support over the years, especially since President Jose Figueres Olsen assumed office. Our gratitude is also due to this country for its important contributions to intraregional cooperation and especially to Central American integration. This occasion demonstrates again the unfailingly constructive contribution which President Figueres and his Administration have made to strengthening our relationship of interdependence.
An appraisal of capital goods policy in Argentina
Science and technology policy and the National Innovation System in Argentina
This article looks at the strengths and weaknesses of the policies proposed in the Argentine National Multi-year Science and Technology Plan, 1998-2000, within the conceptual framework of the National Innovation System (NIS) approach. In the light of a severe diagnosis of the weaknesses of Argentine efforts in this field, the new public policies are designed to promote the interaction of the many agents and institutions involved in those efforts, to change the rules governing the allocation of public resources to research, to promote strategic plans and evaluation mechanisms in public bodies in this field, and to induce greater voluntary spending by the private sector through fiscal credits for technological research and development and a Technological Advisers Programme, in order to give better attention to the demands of small and medium-sized enterprises. However, there are very profound and severe shortcomings in the ability of the Argentine financial system to provide finance for longterm investments in intangible assets, in the capacity of the educational system to link up with the needs of the production sector, and in the ability of the scientific institutions to interact with the educational system and the production sector. Although these shortcomings are mentioned in the Plan, they are not given the amount of attention needed to begin to reverse them. The long and frustrating past history of science and technology policies in the country, which have registered more failures than successes, and the partial success of the laissez-faire policy applied in the 1990s, which was considered to be a good policy by most of domestic and foreign big business, militate against the success of the initiatives under way. At the same time, and in spite of its stimulating suggestions, the approach taken by the NIS reflects serious ambiguities in its normative and conceptual aspects which limit its practical applicability.
The United States to the rescue: Financial assistance to Mexico in 1982 and 1995
This article analyses the financial rescue measures taken by the United States in the Mexican payments crises of August 1982 and January 1995. On both occasions, Mexico was on the brink of suspending payments on its external debt, and both times this was avoided thanks to rescue measures. The implications of the two financial rescue programmes were very different, however. The measures taken in August 1982 were followed by a period of many years in which Mexico was practically excluded from private loan markets. In contrast, the 1995 rescue programme was quickly followed by renewed access by Mexico to private capital markets.
The State, the community and society in social development
The World Summit for Social Development, held in Copenhagen on 11 and 12 March 1995, brought up once more the ideals which gave rise to the United Nations at the San Francisco Conference and which have since been reasserted in many forums of the Organization. The maintenance of peace and security, although an irreplaceable element in the peaceful coexistence of nations, was not the only objective of that Conference, however: it also sought to lay the foundations for a form of coexistence which would make possible more harmonious development. The United Nations Charter which emerged from that meeting was the clear expression of a humanistic spirit and of the quest for democratic ideals and values which made human beings the centre of governments’ concern.
Trade policy within the context of the World Trade Organization
This study looks at the main obligations arising from the World Trade Organization and their repercussions on the design of trade policy. First of all, the study analyses the content of the world trade system and the problems it raises, and highlights the fact that, as the number of questions considered expands and an ever-increasing number of policies are brought under international scrutiny, the delicate balance between trade policy and negotiations must be adjusted more and more exactly. It is pointed out that the commitments entered into within the context of the WTO indicate the direction but not the depth of trade reforms in Latin America. Closer analysis of the obligations arising from the WTO shows that they offer substantial leeway.
Military expenditure in Colombia: Macroeconomic and microeconomic aspects
This article analyses defence and security spending (DSS) in Colombia, on the assumption that in order to gain a better idea of the effect of such spending on economic growth and the public finances it would be desirable to analyse its internal composition, since this would make it possible to infer its impact on the production of defence and security. In order to do this, various theories on the repercussions of military expenditure are reviewed and defence and security spending in Colombia is analysed on the basis of information from the Office of the Comptroller-General of the Republic. The efficiency of spending on the armed forces and the National Police is then examined, especially as regards the relations between combat and support and attack and defence, and it is shown that the military forces need to be reorganized. In the conclusions, various ways of securing savings on the defence budget are proposed. The most important of these are connected with personnel management, as payroll expenses represent 73% of total spending. The proposals made in this respect are to modify the system of pay and allowances, increase the retirement age, reduce the number of personnel and restructure the proportions between combat forces and support and administrative personnel.
Indigenous organizations: Rising actors in Latin America
This article analyses the recent increase in the importance of indigenous peoples as political and social actors in the region, reviewing the changes that have taken place in the situation of the indigenous peoples, the relationship between the State and such peoples, the forging of new identities, and cultural changes: questions that are all being reappraised in the light of what has become known as “the ethnic question". The author highlights the existence of a number of leading threads which appear and reappear in the various types of indigenous movements.
Socio-economic structure and crisis of peripheral capitalism
In the present article the author continues and expands the critical analysis of peripheral capitalism which he began in another that was published in the first issue of this Review. His central contention is that in peripheral societies the development process — whereby the accumulation of capital in the form of goods and training of human resources makes it possible to step up the productivity of the labour force and thus to increase the total product— is not carried out with the necessary efficiency at the social and even, in many cases, at the economic level.
Neo-liberal structural reforms in Latin America: The current situation
Latín America is currently undergoing a strategic turnaround with far-reaching implications: from an inward-oriented form of development with heavy State intervention in production and the system of prices, to an outward-oriented development strategy in the context of a free market, with the private sector playing the leading role. This study analyses the seven main reforms associated with this neo-liberal strategy.
Components of an effective environmental policy
Governments now have very wide experience in promoting development and achieving better levels of income by means of macroeconomic and sectoral policies. Nevertheless, their experience is limited and they have not been very successful in guaranteeing the environmental sustainability of the projects they undertake and, thus helping to assure income sources.
Europe 92 and the Latin American economy
This article analyzes the economic effects which the Europe of 1992 could have on the countries of Latin America. It examines the main factors which led to the signing of the Single European Act in 1985, such as the loss of competitiveness of the European economies, the slow recovery of the European Economic Càimmunity (rrc) after the two oil crises, and the rigid politico-institutional system of the Community.
The incorporation of women in development policies
There is an obvious imbalance between the magnitude of women’s contribution to Latin American and Caribbean economies and the scope of actions and policies aimed at women. The same imbalance is seen between women’s contribution and the benefits they receive through their participation in regional development.
The State and poverty in Costa Rica
The free market philosophy is having a strong influence on policy design and economic strategies in the Latin American countries, and this can lead to erosion of State action in favour of marginated groups as a result of mistakenly entrusting the task of redistribution to the “invisible hand” of the market.
Options for Latin American reactivation in the 1990s
This article analyses the current interna) and external situation of the various countries of Latin America and poses the question of whether this situation closes the door on the growth prospects of the region in the 1990s or, on the contrary, creates conditions and opportunities for the restoration of growth.
Democracy and economics
The topic which has brought us together at this Round Table organized by flacso is by no means a trivial one. To begin with, the crisis which the Latin American societies have had to live through and the dizzy pace of the changes which are taking place in the world have brought into question all the traditional approaches of the social sciences. In this respect, it is necessary to reflect seriously on the basic premises of the various disciplines as well as on interdisciplinary co-operation in order to tackle social realities. Secondly, an analysis of the specific topic which has brought us together here (the relation between the social sciences and democratization) is particularly appropriate in the current Latin American context of the rebirth of democracy.
The prospect for equity
Equity has been a publicly endorsed norm since the achievement of Independence. Various researches have demonstrated, however, that in spite of this ethical and legal commitment, highly concentrated patterns of distribution of income, wealth and power, as well as inequitable access to State services, still persist in the region.
Development and social change in Sweden
Two dominant trends may be observed in the modern history of Sweden: first, its capacity to adapt to changes in the international economy, and second, the formation of political coalitions.
Debt/equity conversion
The intention of this article is to provide certain guidelines and experiences in an area that has been characterized by a good deal of complexity and confusion. Numerous business publications have presented the ease in favour of debt/equity conversion (DEC) programmes, usually from a simplified and orthodox macroeconomic perspective which justifies them in terms of the potentiai double benefit of both reducing the existing external debt (and therefore future debt service) and increasing investment (and therefore future growth) in struggling developing countries.
The competitiveness of Latin American industry
The contribution of science and technology to development is one of the dominant topics in these final years of the twentieth century. In the new form of industrial development, research and technological progress are indispensable for ensuring greater international competitiveness.
The privatization of the Argentine telephone system
This article presents a detailed analysis of the situation of the Argentine telephone system prior to 1990 and evaluates the process of its subsequent privatization. Its main conclusion is that the previous situation of a State quasi-monopoly will probably end in a private oligopoly.
Notes on the future of the western democracies
What will be the future of democracy in Latin America? Medina Echavarría suggests an answer to this question based on an analysis of the controversy that in recent years has been waged in the European countries with respect to the prospects for their democracies. He does not think, of course, that their political processes are automatically reproduced in Latin America, but that in view of the similarity of certain conditions and problems, and the reciprocal contact maintained, some solutions are likely to be similar too.
The Central American entrepreneur as economic and social actor
At the present time, Central American society is faced with the task of simultaneously furthering a process of market liberalization and the development and consolidation of political systems of a liberal-democratic nature. Reconciling the market economic project with the democratic political project in the conditions of social polarization prevailing in the region is of course a colossal task. In it, Central American entrepreneurs will have a vitally important role to play, not only as economic but also as political actors. For them to be able to contribute to the quest for a just and effective balance between the market and democracy, profound changes must take place in the thinking which guides the actions of entrepreneurs in Central America, and hence also in the content and orientation of management training programmes in the region.
Industrial and urban pollution; policy options
This article reviews the conditions that must be fulfilled by the countries of the region in order to tackle and solve their growing problems of pollution from industrial and urban wastes, and the role that should be played in this by industry, science and technology is analysed.
Determinants of inequality among urban households
Education in Latin America: Dem and and distribution are factors that matter
Although the governments of the region have increased their spending on health and education, the results have been unsatisfactory. Expenditure on these services has traditionally been considered as a transfer rather than an investment. The accumulation of human capital has been relatively slow, with negative effects on economic growth, and it has been distributed unevenly among the different income groups, thereby further increasing inequality.
External capital flows in Latin America and the Caribbean in the 1990s: Experiences and policies
This article analyses the experiences of a group of Latin American and Caribbean countries with high inflows of external capital in 1992-1996 and places them within the context of the capital movements which have taken place in the region since 1977. Over the last two decades, capital flows to the region have been marked by their great variability: periods of high inflows of capital have alternated with periods of low inflows. In the three-year period 1992-1994, there was a heavy inflow of capital which was concentrated in a few countries, was more volatile because its composition changed in the direction of portfolio investments, and continued to be high in 1995-1996 in some countries.
Argentina’s Industrial Specialization Regime: New-generation industrial policy, or merely a transfer of resources?
The combination of rapidly increasing trade openness with sharp exchange-rate appreciation formed the context in which Argentine industry had to carry out its production restructuring process from 1991 on. The inability of the spontaneous market forces to spark off this process led the Argentine government to adopt a number of measures designed to correct the problem of relative prices and further the restructuring process through fiscal means. In this context, the Industrial Specialization Regime (ISR) was established with the main objective of promoting export specialization by industrial firms. This regime was based on a subsidy for incremental exports which took the form of access at preferential tariff rates to the importation of goods similar to those exported or forming part of a given production chain of complex goods. The aim of the present article is to make a theoretical and empirical analysis of this policy instrument (in its dual dimension of restructuring policy and export subsidy), examining its underlying theoretical bases, questions relating to its design, application and control, and finally, its effects on the industrial sector.
Two challenges for the twenty-first century: Achieving financial discipline and putting the internationalization process in order
This article takes stock of the situation caused by the Asian financial crisis and analyses the various proposals made for dealing with it so as to avoid its repetition; it is concluded that financial globalization has destabilized the potentially favourable effects of the process of opening up to international trade and productive investment. It notes that while the 1997 financial crisis did not have the deflationary consequences of the 1929 crisis, thanks to the institutional changes made when policy-makers reacted to it, the generalization of export-led growth strategies tends to repeat situations of over-production, further aggravated by the volatility of international capital flows. There is now a feeling that the twenty-first century should mark a dual turning-point: on the one hand, a better balance should be sought between domestic growth and outward-looking policies, and on the other hand –and above all– a number of reforms designed to avoid further great financial crises should be put into effect. A debate is currently under way on the relative merits of various options in this respect: negotiation of a new international system; a Brady Plan for banks; stricter application of prudential regulations; greater transparency of short-term capital movements; the expansion of new options markets, or even the establishment of a Tobin Tax. It would be dangerous to make major structural changes in the productive and social organization of the world’s economies solely in response to the pressures of the international financial markets. Lastly, the formation of regional integration areas represents a middle way between internationalization in all directions and a protectionist withdrawal behind national frontiers. At all events, notable changes may be expected compared with the 1990s.
Macroeconomic trends in Paraguay from 1989 to 1997: Consumption bubble and financial crisis
This article looks at macroeconomic trends in Paraguay since 1989: a critical date, because it marks the return to democracy and a move towards liberalization of the economy. The stabilization process embarked upon at that time resulted in favourable evolution of the monetary variables, but not of investment or of growth of the product. The combination of heavy inflows of capital and an excessive increase in aggregate demand gave rise to a growing external imbalance reflected in a domestic consumption bubble.
The natural gas industry and its regulation in Latin America
This article analyses the systems of regulation of the natural gas market in Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Colombia and Mexico, which are the Latin American countries that have made most progress in this field, and it also presents some information on countries which had not yet defined their regulatory systems at the time of writing, such as Peru and Venezuela. First of all, it describes the situation of the natural gas industry worldwide and defines Latin America’s place in it. It then studies the changes that have taken place in natural gas regulation systems in the region in the 1990s, especially with regard to the treatment given to exploration and production, and industrial processing, transport and marketing. The main features of the natural gas markets in the countries studied are then described, as well as the systems adopted for restructuring the industry, with special emphasis on the role of natural gas in regional energy integration. Finally, the article analyses the main features of natural gas regulation and the principles underlying it; the structure and powers of the regulatory bodies; the mechanisms for fixing the prices of extraction, transport and distribution; the different forms of subsidies, and the tax regime.
Creating capabilities in local environments and production networks
In the new international setting, which is characterized by new technologies that make intensive use of information, globalization of markets, and the increased competitive pressures and uncertainty facing the agents, competitiveness is a systemic phenomenon. The endogenous capabilities of the agents, the degree of development of the environment they operate in and their integration in a production network have become key elements for developing capabilities and creating competitive advantages. It is being asserted more and more frequently that the competitive advantages of countries, regions and agents do not necessarily derive from their factor endowments but can be constructed through the development of endogenous capabilities and linkages with other agents. In the transition from static to dynamic advantages, the capacity to learn –conceived as an interactive process imbuing the whole of society– plays a key role. The present article analyses what the endogenous mechanisms for the creation of capabilities and the conversion of generic knowledge into specific know-how are, and what they depend on, at the level of the individual agents, production networks and the various local environments. Reference is made to the importance attached by economic theory in recent years to the relation between technology and learning processes, especially in the Schumpeterian and evolutionary approaches. The way in which the economic agents learn, transform generic knowledge into specific know-how and link up codified and tacit forms of knowledge is addressed, and finally it is emphasized that these processes are not the result of the natural linear development of production systems but are the consequence of a long evolutionary learning process.
Labour costs and competitiveness in the Latin American manufacturing sector, 1990-1998
This article analyses the reduction of labour costs as a factor which helps to raise the competitiveness of industrial enterprises. It first reviews non-wage labour costs, both for workers with permanent contracts and those with only temporary contracts, or with no contracts at all, in order to show the differences that exist in non-wage labour costs according to the type of contract of the workers or their unregistered status, and the impact of these differences on the labour costs for each type of worker and the average labour costs. It then goes on to consider the evolution of labour costs in industry and the different levels they assume according to the deflator used, because of the changes in relative prices which accompanied the early years of the economic and trade openness process which has taken place in the region. It then analyses the evolution of labour costs in industry by type of contract and the changes in the average labour costs in the sector brought about by the dual strategy of reducing non-wage labour costs and changing the contract structure of industrial employment; describes the effect of exchange-rate lag on average labour costs and competitiveness, and calculates how the latter would have evolved if there had not been such a lag. Finally, some proposals are made for raising the competitiveness of labour in the countries of the region.
Building community social capital
Social capital means the set of norms, institutions and organizations that promote trust and cooperation among persons in communities and also in wider society. In those formulations of the social capital paradigm (and of the neoinstitutional economics on which they are partly based) which focus on its collective manifestations, it is claimed that stable relationships based on trust and cooperation can reduce transaction costs, produce public goods and facilitate the constitution of social actors and even of sound civil societies. Community social capital is a particular form of social capital which comprises the informal content of institutions that aim to contribute to the common good. Even some of the foundational authors of the social capital paradigm have doubts about the feasibility of creating such capital in groups where it does not already exist. The peasant communities of Chiquimula (Guatemala) covered by the anti-poverty “Support Project for Small-scale Producers of Zacapa and Chiquimula” (PROZACHI) displayed a relatively individualistic culture of dependence and domination yet at the same time had a broad and dynamic repertoire of various norms, including some which could serve as a symbolic support for solidary and reciprocal practices. Chiquimula seemed to lack social capital institutions, but with the recovery of institutional practices of the past and the emergence of new contexts and opportunities for developing new group strategies it has been possible to create social capital in these communities, with external support and training, and thus turn an excluded sector into a social actor on the micro-regional scene.
Why doesn’t investment in public transport reduce urban traffic congestion?
There is urban traffic congestion in most parts of the world, including Latin America. Among the measures aimed at solving this problem, many cities have built suburban railways or metros. However, these have had little or no effect, as is shown by studies which indicate that investments in the public transport system are incapable of solving this problem on their cars. This article takes the view that when a new metro line or similar system is opened, many travellers who previously used the buses transfer to it, as do a few who previously used their cars.
An integrated macro-model for the Caribbean subregion
The objective of this paper is to calculate a simple integrated macro-model for the Caribbean subregion. Using a homogeneous data set that runs from 1980 to 1991 for a sample of 12 countries in the subregion and a fairly simple model with non-controversial specifications for the structural relationships, we generate a representative and consistent group of estimates for a given set of parameters in pooled and individual country estimations.
Recent economic trends in China and their implications for trade with Latin America and the Caribbean
Among the East and Southeast Asian economies often regarded as the most successful showcases, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) occupies an outstanding place. This economy has one of the fastest growing GNPs in the world, and its outward orientation in the post-Mao Zedong era has made the country a significant world trade partner, so that the question of whether or not the economy stays on its sustained growth path will affect the welfare of the world economy in its entirety, including Latin America. The deepening of the ongoing economic reforms, coupled with prudent macro policies, should insure that the PRC’s economy does indeed stay on course in its sustained, yet gradual, transformation process. Despite the already eminent position that the country occupies on the present world scene and its high growth prospects, present economic ties between the PRC and Latin America are marginal: mutual trade flows and reciprocal investments remain at an extremely low level.
Human rights and the child
The current celebration of the fiftieth anniversary of the founding of the United Nations is a suitable moment for reflection and analysis of the Organization’s role in promoting, guaranteeing and defending human rights.
Privatizations and social welfare
Privatization is an important dimension of the adjustment process in Latin America. The process is well advanced in a considerable number of countries, and there are few nations which have not embarked on a privatization programme, with special emphasis on the sale of public enterprises.
