Reduced Inequalities
Can Targeted Interventions Mitigate the Adverse Drivers of Irregular Migration and Forced Displacement?
Nov 2021
Working Paper
This paper discusses how targeted interventions, either at the local or sectoral level, may shape migration and forced displacement dynamics. To assess the channels through which public policies and development initiatives potentially affect human mobility intentions and outcomes, the paper first focuses on the many—and sometimes counterintuitive—reasons why people leave their countries of origin. The drivers of both ‘voluntary’ migration and forced displacement span all dimensions of people’s lives, including economic, social, political and environmental ones. The paper then analyses the empirical evidence on the observed impact of targeted interventions on the propensity to move, either by choice or by force. The literature on the consequences of local and sectoral interventions on the behaviour of individuals in terms of human mobility remains limited, and new approaches are needed to capture more consistently the different channels of transmission. The paper thus offers potential research avenues and methodological options for better understanding of how targeted interventions can contribute to mitigating the adverse drivers of irregular migration and forced displacement.
Employing the Multidimensional Poverty Lens to Deliver Livelihood Support to the Urban Poor: Lessons from a UNDP Bangladesh Intervention
May 2022
Working Paper
Impacts of crises on inequality and marginalization are more complex and layered in today’s interconnected world than they were in the past, often manifesting through exacerbation of various pre-existing vulnerabilities of disadvantaged groups. Recovery strategies and efforts to build resilience thus require more multidimensional lenses for addressing secondary impacts of shocks, particularly on the most vulnerable. This brief explores whether multidimensional approaches to addressing issues related to poverty and vulnerability are more helpful in crisis contexts. Towards that end, the brief analyzes primary data on beneficiaries of UNDP Bangladesh’s Livelihoods Improvement of Urban Poor Communities (LIUPC) project. The findings are expected to contribute to the conception, design and scaling-up of future initiatives and contextualized solutions to strengthen the resilience of urban poor communities in similar settings.
How Shocks Turn into Crises: National Policies for Advancing Social Development in Turbulent Times
Dec 2024
Working Paper
Shocks and crises have become more frequent, intense and widespread in an interconnected world, affecting more people across the globe. Crises that might have previously remained relatively contained within a well-defined geographic region, are now propagated rapidly through globally interconnected systems and networks in areas such as economics, finance, the environment and health. The 2008 Global Financial Crisis is an example of how financial shocks spread through the interconnected balance sheets of financial institutions, causing havoc around the world. The COVID-19 pandemic also shows how national health systems were unable to absorb the effects of the virus, which spread quickly through a dense global transportation network before disrupting highly concentrated economic and financial networks and killing more than 7 million people. Looking toward the Second World Summit for Social Development in 2025, this policy brief focuses on explaining how shocks turn into crises and how national policies, supported by the international community, can help counter shocks, build resilience, and advance social development objectives, namely eradicating poverty, promoting full and productive employment, and fostering social inclusion in times of converging crises.
Global Action is Needed to Advance Social Development Amidst Converging Crises
Oct 2024
Working Paper
The recent confluence of crises – the COVID-19 pandemic, violent conflicts, and climate change – has caused severe setbacks to central objectives of social development, such as poverty eradication, employment generation, inequality reduction, and building inclusive societies. People and societies in vulnerable situations have been hit the hardest by the converging crises. There are indications that shocks and crises are becoming ever more frequent, severe, and far-reaching – driven by the worsening effects of climate change, the growing probability of pandemics, growing geopolitical tensions, and increasingly dense global networks of trade, finance and transport. The effects of these converging crises can be severe and long-lasting, as they may exhaust public and private response capacities, cause economic scarring, and trap people in a cycle of poverty. The World Social Report (WSR 2024) estimates that the potential cumulative global economic output loss could be over $50 trillion in the 2020–2030 period, an indication of lost opportunities for social development. National social protection mechanisms can help to protect and further advance social development. These mechanisms, by limiting the adverse impacts of shocks and crises, especially on people in vulnerable situations, and by supporting short-term recovery, enhance longer-term resilience and foster sustainable and inclusive growth. Yet only 47 per cent of the global population and as few as 13 per cent in low-income countries, are estimated to have access to at least one social protection benefit. At the same time, converging crises may increase the cost of providing adequate and universal social protection, while also depleting public financial resources. As a result, many developing countries, including most low- and lower-middle-income countries, would find it difficult to achieve universal social protection by 2030 without additional international support
Multi-speed Growth is Back, With a Fiscal Blind Spot
Jul 2024
Working Paper
Multi-speed growth is back: 68 developing economies are currently growing at more than 4%, 47 at between 2 and 4% and 37 at less than 2%. The projected effects on poverty are uneven. Despite a downward trend since the pandemic in 2020, an estimated 7.7% of the global population could still be living in extreme poverty in 2024, just below the pre-pandemic level of 8%, and could decrease slightly to 7.2% by 2026. Looking forward, high levels of debt and weak development financing are expected to make uneven patterns of growth and poverty more divergent. In 49 countries, net interest payments as a share of revenue are now higher than 10%, up from 27 countries a decade ago, and in 10 countries higher than 25%. Worst affected is the world’s poorest region, Sub-Saharan Africa, which accounts for 45% of countries with interest payments in excess of 10% and 50% of countries with payments higher than 25%. Indicators of debt distress and default risk remain elevated. For developing economies with a sovereign credit rating, 61% percent (54 countries) have a rating below ‘non-investment grade’ and for countries with debt assessed under the LIC-DSF 51% percent (34 countries) are rated either in or at high risk of debt distress.
Net Wealth Taxes: How They Can Help Fight Inequality and Fund Sustainable Development
Dec 2024
Working Paper
Taxing wealth can take many forms; policy makers should carefully analyse options best suited to the existing tax system and the social-economic situation in their country. Ensuring effective taxation of wealth is a tool to address inequality, increase progressivity in the tax system, and raise domestic revenues to finance sustainable development. Net wealth taxes are gaining support, fuelled by the view that all individuals and corporations must pay their fair share of taxes. Investments in technological progress and automation of tax administrations, coupled with third-party reporting, international tax cooperation in the form of exchange of information and exit taxes, are crucial elements that could help countries to efficiently and effectively levy a net wealth tax.
Leveraging Population Trends for a More Sustainable and Inclusive Future: Insights From World Population Prospects 2024
Nov 2024
Working Paper
Understanding how population trends are likely to unfold in the short, medium and long terms is critical for achieving a more inclusive, prosperous and sustainable future as recognized in the Declaration on Future Generations. This policy brief provides an overview of some of the main findings of the recently released report, World Population Prospects 2024: Summary of Results (United Nations, 2024a) with the aim of helping countries prepare for population sizes, age structures and spatial distributions that may differ appreciably from those of their recent past.
Unlocking the Potential of an Ageing Workforce
Apr 2025
Working Paper
This policy brief focuses on the challenges of an ageing workforce and available policy strategies to unlock its full potential. It presents policy examples from the UNECE region aimed at readying the workforce for the future, retaining older workers in the workforce and re-engaging older workers beyond normal retirement age. Finally, the policy brief also offers a checklist of effective measures to address the challenges of an ageing workforce.
Assessing Group-based Inequalities Across the Life Course for a More Inclusive World
Jun 2025
Working Paper
With its central pledge to leave no one behind and to reach the furthest behind first, the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development echoes the commitment to promoting social inclusion contained in the 1995 Copenhagen Declaration on Social Development. In SDG Target 10.2, countries explicitly committed to promoting the social, economic, and political inclusion of all, regardless of age, sex, disability, race, ethnicity, origin, religion, or economic or other status. Yet in many contexts, these ascribed characteristics remain a significant source of disadvantage. A sizeable share of total inequality in income is explained by inherited characteristics that should have no bearing on life chances, for example, 77 per cent in South Africa, 66 per cent in Brazil, 50 per cent in India and 49 per cent in Bulgaria. These inequalities are unfair and persistent, often passed from one generation to the next through interlinked disadvantages in health, education, nutrition, and access to decent work. Given persistent and high inequalities, improving the terms of participation for people who are disadvantaged on the basis of their group characteristics through enhanced access to opportunities, resources, voice and respect for rights is crucial to achieving the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. This brief illustrates how inequality in opportunity between different population groups can be quantified using existing household survey data, drawing on analysis conducted for the 2025 edition of the World Social Report.
A World of Debt: It is Time for Reform
Jun 2025
Working Paper
Public debt can be vital for development. Governments use it to finance expenditures, protect and invest in their people and pave the way to a better future. However, when public debt grows excessively or its costs outweigh its benefits, it becomes a heavy burden. This is precisely what is happening across the developing world today.
Wealth Distribution, Income Inequality and Financial Inclusion: A Panel Data Analysis
Apr 2023
Working Paper
Research and data indicate that wealth inequality is more concentrated than income inequality and that there is a high correlation between both variables. Yet, most empirical studies on the determinants of economic inequality focus on income and not wealth inequality and they rarely examine the nexus between the two variables. Against this backdrop, this paper examines the impact of income inequality on the distribution of wealth using panel data and controlling for the roles of financial inclusion and other potential drivers of wealth inequality. We find evidence that lagged wealth and savings rates increase wealth inequality globally as well as in the developed and developing countries samples. We also find that income inequality and return on deposits are dis-equalizing in developing countries while financial inclusion is equalizing in developed countries. In both the global and developing countries samples, financial inclusion has a negative relationship with wealth inequality, but the coefficients are not statistically significant. The findings of the paper have important policy implications for national efforts to address wealth inequality.
Realizing Product Diversification for Structural Change in African Countries
Aug 2023
Working Paper
Export diversification has been among the most cited policy recommendations for African countries to spur structural transformation and increase resilience. However, export diversification that benefits structural change is not an automated process and requires an analytical approach and complex decision-making. Applying an adjusted economic complexity and product space methodology on trade data of 54 African countries and their trading partners, this paper assesses export diversification opportunities that are feasible to realize, associated with structural change and of high demand in the world and on the African continent. Increasing complementarities of African exports and imports are crucial to yield higher benefits from the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA). The paper’s focus on intra-African diversification opportunities allows for a continental mapping of current exports with export diversification opportunities and the identification of niche areas of individual countries. The paper finds that almost all countries have some potential for product diversification into light manufacturing (machinery and mechanical appliances; electrical machinery) and processed base metal products (articles of iron and steel), though in different products. The paper’s findings can guide policymakers and development partners in identifying industrialization strategies and productive capacity needs.
Economic Diversification: Its Relationship With Inequality and Ensuing Policy Options
Jan 2024
Working Paper
This paper empirically explores the relationship between export diversification and income inequality. Using a sample of 182 countries from 1998 to 2018, the study employs a fixed effects model to examine the interaction between diversification and inequality. The results show a statistically significant linear positive association between export diversification and income inequality. The study also finds heterogeneity in the association across income and commodity-dependence groups, with the result holding in the subsamples comprising low-income, and commodity-dependent developing countries. The results remain significant to a series of robustness checks. This suggests that while export diversification is associated with rising income, it may initially benefit specific groups, leading to higher inequality. The paper emphasizes the importance of inclusive policies to ensure that the benefits of diversification extend to vulnerable groups from an early stage; it proposes recommendations for governments to promote inclusive diversification efforts.
Understanding the Drivers of Income Inequality Within and Across Countries: Some New Evidence
Jan 2023
Working Paper
This paper examines the drivers of income inequality within and across countries using relevant measures of inequality and an estimation technique that jointly accounts for both model and estimation uncertainties. The estimations are applied to a global sample and to three categories of vulnerable developing countries: Africa, least developed countries (LDCs), and landlocked developing countries (LLDCs). We find that multiple factors contribute to income inequality within and across countries but that there are significant differences in the key drivers globally and in Africa, LDCs and LLDCs. We also find strong support for the Kuznets hypothesis in the global and the developing countries samples but not in the Africa, LDC and LLDC samples. These differences underscore the need for policymakers to account for country-heterogeneity in the design of policies to combat inequality within and across countries.
From the First to the Second World Summit for Social Development: Reclaiming a Broad Vision of Social Progress
Jun 2025
Working Paper
The World Social Report 2025 warns that piecemeal approaches are no match for the scale and interconnectedness of today’s challenges. Rising economic insecurity, persistent inequality, eroding trust, and social fragmentation demand coordinated responses grounded in a shared commitment to equality, social justice, and solidarity. The 2025 World Summit for Social Development offers a chance to reaffirm the Copenhagen Declaration and reapply its principles to current realities, restoring a holistic vision of social progress as the foundation of a more inclusive, resilient, and sustainable future.
التنمية المجتمعية الدامجة للأشخاص ذوي الإعاقة: سياسة وطنية وبرامج مجتمعية
May 2025
Working Paper
يقترح موجز السياسات "التنمية المجتمعية الدامجة للأشخاص ذوي الإعاقة: من النهج الطبي إلى الدمج و المشاركة" تغييراً جذرياً في طريقة دعم الأشخاص ذوي الإعاقة في المنطقة العربية. فالخدمات المقدّمة إلى هذه الفئة المجتمعيّة لا تزال تتّخذ منحىً طبيّاً، ما يحرم الملايين من أفرادها من المشاركة الكاملة في مجتمعاتهم. كذلك يُوجَّه الجزء الأكبر من الموارد إلى المؤسسات التقليدية التي تخدم أعداداً قليلة من الأشخاص ذوي الإعاقة، ولا تُخصص سوى موارد ضئيلة جدًا لتطوير برامج دامجة ومستدامة تضمن لهم العيش المستقل والمشاركة الفعّالة. ونظراً إلى أنّ هذا الواقع يخلق فجوةً واسعة بين التشريعات الطموحة وواقع الحال، تدعو السياسة المقترحة إلى إعادة تخصيص الموارد نحو بناء بيئات شاملة للأشخاص ذوي الإعاقة، من خلال دعم سبل العيش المستقلّ، وإزالة الحواجز المؤسسية والسلوكية، وتعزيز فرص التعليم والعمل المستدام.
When Juncture Meets Structure
Mar 2022
Working Paper
The book “When Juncture Meets Structure: Vignettes on Development and the COVID-19 Crisis in Latin America and the Caribbean” is based on the “Graph for Thought” series, and brings together 30 data-driven vignettes to tell the story of structural development challenges in the LAC region and how this is changing in the wake of the pandemic.
Women’s Participation in Political Life in the Arab Region: Closing Gaps to Increase Women’s Participation in Decision-making Processes
May 2025
Working Paper
The present policy brief examines three main barriers to women’s political participation in the Arab region, namely the limited application of temporary special measures, discriminatory laws and practices against women in the private and public spheres, and institutional attitudes towards women such as negative views and stereotypes about women’s capabilities in leadership roles. The brief presents best policy practices from Arab countries and globally that have contributed to closing the gaps across these three main dimensions related to women’s political participation. It also offers policy options for Arab Governments using specific country examples from the region to address existing barriers to increasing women’s political participation. It illustrates how these policy options can support countries in improving their performance on international developmental and gender equality indices. This policy brief is the third in a policy briefs series on “the contribution of development indices in closing the gender gap and advancing social and economic development”.
The Role of Supreme Audit Institutions in Leaving No One Behind
Sep 2025
Working Paper
This policy brief draws attention to the value of external audits to Governments’ efforts to leave no one behind. It highlights some impacts of audit reports on equity, equality and inclusion. It then presents observations and examples from a review of audit report recommendations, which can inform and guide Governments in strengthening their work in this area.
مشاركة المرأة في الحياة السياسية في المنطقة العربية: سدّ الفجوات لتعزيز مشاركة المرأة في صنع القرار
May 2025
Working Paper
يبحث موجز السياسات هذا في ثلاثة حواجز رئيسية تعيق مشاركة المرأة في الحياة السياسية في المنطقة العربية، وهي التطبيق المحدود للتدابير الخاصة المؤقتة، والقوانين والممارسات التمييزية ضد المرأة في المجالَين الخاص والعام، والمواقف المؤسسية تجاه المرأة مثل الآراء السلبية والصور النمطية عن قدرات المرأة في الأدوار القيادية. ويعرض الموجز أفضل الممارسات في مجال السياسات العامة في البلدان العربية وحول العالم، التي ساهمت في سدّ الفجوات في هذه الأبعاد الرئيسية الثلاثة المتعلقة بمشاركة النساء في الحياة السياسية. كما يقدم الموجز للحكومات العربية خيارات في مجال السياسات العامة، مستعيناً بأمثلة من بلدان محدّدة في المنطقة لمعالجة الحواجز القائمة أمام زيادة مشاركة النساء في مضمار السياسة. ويوضح كيف يمكن لهذه الخيارات أن تدعم البلدان في تحسين أدائها على مؤشرات التنمية الدولية والمساواة بين الجنسين. وهذا الموجز الثالث هو جزءٌ من سلسلة موجزات في مجال السياسات العامة حول “مساهمة مؤشرات التنمية في سدّ الفجوة بين الجنسين والنهوض بالتنمية الاجتماعية والاقتصادية”.
2021 Parliamentary Elections: Post-electoral Survey
Jan 2022
Working Paper
The post-electoral survey presents the most important facts and results about 2021 Parliamentary Elections. The main purpose of the survey was to measure the impact of civic education campaigns of voters aimed at changes in voters’ perception of the Central Electoral Commission (CEC) and the Centre for Continuous Electoral Training (CCET) activity. The data are analyzed in comparison with three other poste-electoral surveys: Presidential Elections held in November 2020, Parliamentary Elections held in February 2019 and Local General Elections held in October 2019. The research was conducted on the basis of a nationally representative sample, covering both rural and urban areas. The target group included the population with the right to vote aged 18 years and over, residing in 314 localities across the country. 70% of questionnaires were developed in Romanian, and 30% in Russian. The sampling error is ± 2.6%. The data were collected in August – September 2021. The opinion survey has been conducted in the framework of the “Enhancing Democracy in Moldova through Inclusive and Transparent Elections” project implemented by UNDP Moldova, with the financial support from the American people provided through the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). The expressed points of view belong to the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official opinion of the UNDP, financing institution or Government of the Republic of Moldova.
Leaving No One Behind (LNOB): A Pathway that Delivers
Oct 2025
Working Paper
Amid uneven SDG progress and overlapping crises, efforts to deliver sustainable development that leaves no one behind continue to face persistent, intersecting barriers—even where commitments are strong. Consider, for example, the experience of a woman with a disability in an informal settlement: she cannot afford assistive devices, faces inaccessible infrastructure, encounters weak enforcement of rules, experiences hiring bias and may struggle to evacuate during an earthquake. This scenario shows how multiple barriers converge to deepen exclusion. This policy brief highlights five dimensions where exclusion is often observed—affordability, access, governance, participation and external shocks, among others—and illustrates how governments are responding in each through policy examples and observations. Insights are drawn from 2024–2025 country implementation updates from thirteen countries that announced commitments at the 2023 SDG Summit, as well as 2025 Voluntary National Review (VNR) reports from three additional countries3 with such commitments. The analysis is intended to inform global policy discussions, including, as relevant, the World Social Summit under the title Second World Summit for Social Development.
Breaking the Cycle: Addressing Inequalities in Child Survival to Promote Inclusive Social Development
Oct 2025
Working Paper
Thirty years ago, Member States gathered at the first World Summit for Social Development recognized that good health is both a consequence and a driver of social development and committed to reducing mortality rates among children under age 5. Since then, levels of child mortality have fallen significantly (United Nations, 2024). Yet, as the world prepares for the Second World Summit for Social Development in November 2025, profound disparities in child health and survival persist within and among countries, making it difficult for those furthest behind to break out of mutually rein-forcing cycles of poor health, poverty and social exclusion. This policy brief explores disparities in child mortality within and among countries and provides a series of recommendations aimed at ending preventable child deaths and reducing inequalities in child survival in different contexts.
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