Climate Action
Выражение признательности
Ведущие авторы: Ассиа Алексиева, Анаис Беллалуна, Шейенн л'Оклер.
Acknowledgements
Lead authors: Assia Alexieva, Anaïs Bellalouna, Cheyenne L’Auclair.
Introduction
Climate change is increasingly recognized as a complex global challenge with far-reaching implications for human societies. Its effects extend beyond environmental impacts, affecting various aspects of human society, including economic systems, social structures and human rights (IPCC, 2022).
Introduction
Введение
Заблаговременные предупреждения лежат в основе мандата ВМО . Предоставляя странам возможность реагировать на экстремальные явления, связанные с погодой, климатом, водой и окружающей средой, и предвосхищать их, ВМО помогает защитить жизни людей, средства к существованию и инфраструктуру, обеспечивая при этом поддержку принятия решений с учетом климатических факторов и устойчивого развития.
致谢
主要作者:Assia Alexieva、Anaïs Bellalouna、Cheyenne L’Auclair.
Implications of climate change
Climate change has led to profound implications on economic activities especially in agricultural and coastal areas.
Forest functions and services
Forest services are the benefits, such as cleaner air, fresh water, timber and recreation, derived from different functions of the forests.
MHEWS coverage and comprehensiveness
It is possible to gain a clearer picture of the status of MHEWS, both globally and regionally, by looking at MHEWS coverage and comprehensiveness.
Introduction
Climate change poses significant challenges for Ethiopia, with both slow- and sudden-onset events increasingly affecting communities across the country (World Bank, 2021).
Progress in the early warnings for all initiative
Section 1.4 summarizes the growing recognition of MHEWS globally, with the most prominent initiative to date being EW4All.
Acknowledgements
This publication was prepared under the guidance of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) Forest and Bioeconomy Section, as part of the project “Enhancing data collection and analysis for the improved dissemination of information on forests in the UNECE region” funded by Canada.
Theoretical background
Although the environment as a driving force behind migration is not new to the literature, it is currently receiving more attention because of climate change and the frequency of extremely damaging disasters.
Introduction
Climate change poses significant challenges for the Philippines, with both slow- and sudden-onset events increasingly affecting communities across the country.
Who owns the forests in the UNECE region?
Forest owners rarely have the full range of exclusive legal rights to ‘use, control or transfer’.
Individual, household and community factors affecting the chain
This section describes the ways in which demographic and community factors affect the climate change–trafficking chain in Ethiopia, based on both primary and secondary data and analysis.
Desk review
The body of literature examining the intersection of climate change and health impacts in industrial zones in Viet Nam, particularly Hanoi, is severely limited
How diverse are the UNECE forests?
The UNECE region has a variety of forest types across three biomes: boreal (taiga), temperate and subtropical.
Climate migration in Egypt
Egypt is a typical example of an emerging lower-middle income economy that is highly vulnerable to climate change and faces numerous threats to its economic, social and environmental sustainability.
Individual, household and community factors affecting the chain
This section describes the ways in which demographic and community factors affect the climate change–trafficking chain in the Philippines, based on both primary and secondary data and analysis.
Forests - protecting people and the planet
One of the most vital forest roles is protection: guarding the environment, human wellbeing and infrastructure from natural hazards.
Climate-Change Vulnerability in Rural Zambia
This paper examines the impacts of the El Niño during the 2015/2016 season on maize productivity and income in rural Zambia. The analysis aims at identifying whether and how sustainable land management (SLM) practices and livelihood diversification strategies have contributed to moderate the impacts of such a weather shock. The analysis was conducted using a specifically designed survey called the El Niño Impact Assessment Survey (ENIAS), which is combined with the 2015 wave of the Rural Agricultural Livelihoods Surveys (RALS), as well as high resolution rainfall data from the Africa Rainfall Climatology version 2 (ARC2). This unique, integrated data set provides an opportunity to understand the impacts of shocks like El Niño that are expected to get more frequent and severe in Zambia, as well as understand the agricultural practices and livelihood strategies that can buffer household production and welfare from the impacts of such shocks to drive policy recommendations. Results show that households affected by the drought experienced a decrease in maize yield by around 20 percent, as well as a reduction in income up to 37 percent, all else equal. Practices that moderated the impact of the drought included livestock diversification, income diversification, and the adoption of agro-forestry. Interestingly, the use of minimum soil disturbance was not effective in moderating the yield and income effects of the drought. Policies to support livestock sector development, agroforestry adoption, and off-farm diversification should be prioritized as effective drought resiliency strategies in Zambia.
Climate Resilience Pathways of Rural Households
Climate variability and extreme events continue to impose significant challenges to households, particularly to those that are less resilient. By exploring the resilience capacity of rural Ethiopian households after the drought shock occurred in 2011, using panel data, this paper shows important socio-economic and policy determinants of households’ resilience capacity. Three policy indications emerge from the analysis. First, government support programmes, such as the Productive Safety Net Programme (PSNP), appear to sustain households’ resilience by helping them to reach the level of pre-shock total consumption, but have no impact on the food-consumption resilience. Secondly, the “selling out assets strategy” affects positively households’ resilience, but only in terms of food consumption – not total consumption. Finally, the presence of informal institutions, such as social networks providing financial support, sharply increases households’ resilience by helping them to reach preshock levels of both food consumption and total consumption.
How Do Extreme Weather Events Affect Livestock Herders' Welfare?
This paper examines the impact of the harsh 2012 winter on livestock herding households in Kyrgyzstan and identifies policy options to increase household resilience to such shocks. While existing studies mostly focus on rainfall shocks in tropical or dry climate areas, this analysis examines the exceptionally harsh winter that hit Kyrgyzstan in 2012, which resulted in the death of 25 000 animals. Using a unique household panel survey, merged with observed temperature data, the analysis finds that, on average, the negative effects of the winter shock on household welfare are significant and persistent over time, leading to a 5 percent and a 8 percent decrease in households’ food consumption expenditure in the short- (2011–2013) and medium-run (2011–2016), respectively. When disaggregating by income quantiles, the evidence shows that negative impact is concentrated in the upper quantiles of the welfare distribution. Several policy options are identified as effective in mitigating the negative welfare impacts of the weather shock. First, supporting households to restock their herds following weather shocks is found to significantly improve medium-term welfare by 10 percent relative to those that did not restock. Restocking efforts can be addressed in a holistic manner that takes into account immediate household needs, while simultaneously building long-term resilience in the livestock sector. This may include mitigating animal losses through the development of local forage markets that increase the availability of winter forage, combined with efforts to improve the genetic pool of livestock species through breeding programmes that select for resiliency traits. Second, results show that households living in regions with higher access to public veterinary services had significantly better welfare outcomes following the winter shock. Improvements of veterinary services and strengthening community-based organizations focusing on livestock and pasture development may help herding households to cope with weather shocks.
Household Vulnerability to Food Security in the Face of Climate Change in Paraguay
Climate change may have devastating effects on agricultural productivity and food security, impacting significantly the poorest households. In this study, we analyse the effect climate change is expected to have on agricultural productivity, caloric consumption, and vulnerability to food insecurity of household agricultural producers in Paraguay. Our results suggest that increasing temperatures and reduced precipitation will reduce agricultural productivity and caloric consumption, and increase vulnerability to food insecurity. Specifically, a 1 percent increase in average maximum temperatures is associated with a 5 percent reduction in agricultural productivity. A 5 percent reduction in agricultural productivity translates into nearly a 1 percent reduction in caloric consumption. Vulnerability to food insecurity in Paraguay is expected to increase by 28 percentage points by 2100 due to climate change, increasing fastest in areas where temperatures are increasing and rainfall is diminishing. We estimate that improvements in infrastructure, farm technology, and education may reduce nearly half of the expected future adverse effects of climate change on household vulnerability to food insecurity. With current climate trends in Paraguay, policy makers will need to prioritize and tailor adaptive and mitigating interventions to the needs of the different geographical locations of the country.
