Climate Action
Population, Food Security, Nutrition and Sustainable Development
6月 2021
工作稿
Population lies at the heart of sustainable development, including efforts to create sustainable and equitable food systems. Population trends, including population growth, urbanization, changing age distributions, changes in health and mortality, rural-urban migration and international migration, are closely linked to many aspects of food systems. The Programme of Action of the International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD) emphasizes individual rights and human development, especially for women and girls, as well as sustainable consumption and production. An evidence-based understanding of the interrelationships between demographic trends and food systems, food security and nutrition, as well as relevant policy responses, will be an essential input to broader international discussions of hunger, food security, nutrition and food systems in 2021, including at the high-level political forum on sustainable development, the United Nations Food Systems Summit and the Nutrition for Growth Summit.
Wildfires – a Growing Concern for Sustainable Development
10月 2021
工作稿
This policy brief reviews trends and impacts of wildfires on sustainable development, in all its environmental, economic and social dimensions. It provides an analysis of the key drivers of wildfires and proposes measures to reduce the risk and impacts of future wildfires.
Household and Care Work, Crisis, and Gender-Unequal Economies: A Samoan Perspective
12月 2022
工作稿
Small Island Development States’ (SIDS) natural features, relative isolation, typical dependence on external resources and limited domestic capacity to absorb shocks make many of them especially vulnerable to crises, including climate-change related environmental disasters and health emergencies. This policy brief argues that one such crisis, precipitated by the COVID-19 pandemic, has amplified and perpetuated dynamics of gender inequality in Samoa, a Pacific SIDS. We posit that care and household work, the burden of which falls disproportionately on women, is a central nexus in these dynamics, which in turn affect Samoa’s ability to cope with and spring back from this crisis. Based on this Samoan experience, we argue that care and household work deserves special attention from policymakers, especially in SIDS, because of its potentially central importance for gender-equity as well as for crisis-resilience and recovery.
Synergies in Jointly Addressing Climate Change, Health Equity and Gender Equality
2月 2023
工作稿
Climate change is already impacting negatively on the health and well-being of individuals across the globe, and this burden is likely to become more important and debilitating over time. Due to deep-rooted systemic inequalities, the growing negative consequences disproportionately affect diverse women, girls and lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender and intersex (LGBTI) people. The same structural and cultural factors that render them more vulnerable also limit their meaningful participation in mitigation and adaptation planning and marginalize their needs. This policy brief argues the case that to enable gender-transformative, intersectional and rights-based approaches, climate change, gender and other social determinants of health must therefore be considered and addressed jointly where possible. A systems-based approach can improve the understanding of important synergies and co-benefits, feedback loops, trade-offs and unanticipated consequences that are critical to priority-setting and effective responses. It can also foster critically needed cross-sectoral collaboration among the policymakers and advocates who work on climate, health and gender equality.
Global Decarbonization in Fossil Fuel Export-Dependent Economies: Fiscal and Economic Transition Costs
5月 2023
工作稿
This paper takes a closer look at the potentially huge economic and fiscal transition costs of global decarbonization in fossil fuel export-dependent economies. The paper identifies 40 heavily fossil fuel dependent economies. It is estimated that these countries will lose more than 60 percent in oil rents alone during the period 2023-2040 under a net-zero 2050 global decarbonization scenario compared to a ‘business as usual’ scenario reflecting stated policies. Local projections analysis provide evidence in support of possibly large adverse impacts on growth, government revenue and debt from a rapid fall in global fossil fuel demand in net-exporting emerging markets and developing economies. Finally, the paper discusses the mitigating domestic and international policy options to help countries.
Policy Implications of the Gender, Inclusion and Climate Change Nexus: Experiences from Sri Lanka
4月 2023
工作稿
Development discourse has long acknowledged the disproportionate impact of climate change and its implications for women and other marginalized social groups and has called for gender-responsive and inclusive climate action in international, national and local arenas. However, some countries are still pursuing development trajectories that fall short on gender sensitivity and social inclusion, worsening the impacts on women and marginalized groups while hindering resilience-building efforts. Given Sri Lanka’s heightened climate vulnerability and the exacerbated climate risks on women and other socially excluded demographics, and responding to the call for action in the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) process and the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, this brief examines the level to which Sri Lanka’s development and climate policies and strategies integrate a gender and social inclusion approach in comparison to regional peers. Drawing on this work, this brief then provides recommendations to improve the climate policy landscape of Sri Lanka, including the gender-responsiveness of such work, to inform the country’s ongoing National Climate Change Policy revisions.
Climate-responsive Central Banking in the Least Developed Countries
2月 2024
工作稿
Climate change can have physical and economic impacts that affect core areas of central banking, including inflation and financial sector stability. Central banks, including those of LDCs, need to reevaluate their options in the light of the climate crisis and the global low-carbon transition. This policy brief outlines the ways central banks can identify policy tradeoffs and determine how to best incorporate climate-responsive policy and analytical tools in their operational frameworks. There is increased awareness of how climate change risks can have profound effects on financial sectors and other economic sectors. Two broad classes of climate risks can create financial stress: physical risks – arising from the direct and indirect consequences of climate-related events – and transition risks, associated with the shift towards a low-carbon economy. Examples of physical risks include increased frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, such as hurricanes and floods that damage assets and disrupt supply chains. Transition risks relate to regulatory changes, technological progress, and market shifts that impact the value of investments to which carbon-intensive industries are especially exposed.
Strengthening Disaster Risk Reduction and Resilience for Climate Action through Risk-informed Governance
10月 2022
工作稿
Governments that consider risk in policymaking and successfully integrate risk management into their governance frameworks and development have a better record of DRR and resilience building. Climate change is already changing the frequency and intensity of natural hazards, as well as increasing the vulnerabilities of countries in special situations including Small Island Developing States (SIDS). Ensuring risk-informed governance for climate action requires citizen-centric approach through the whole-of-society and whole-of-government approaches including the leverage of government innovation and frontier technologies for DRR and resilience. Emerging trends globally show that there is a stark upsurge in the number of disasters in this century compared to the previous one. Over the past two decades, climate-related disasters have nearly doubled compared to the preceding twenty years, affecting more than 4 billion people.
A Just Green Transition: Concepts and Practice So Far
11月 2022
工作稿
Achieving the transition to an environmentally sustainable and climate-safe future is a matter of justice in itself—people in vulnerable situations, poor countries and future generations stand to suffer the most from climate change and environmental degradation—but how it is done also matters. A green transition is already taking place, creating jobs and economic opportunities, and its potential in the medium—and long-term is much greater. Inevitably, however, a transformation on the scale necessary to contain climate change also implies losses of jobs, livelihoods, and public and private revenues in many areas and not necessarily where the benefits will accrue most directly. It also entails changes in the way energy and food needs are met and land is used, generating other types of social and environmental challenges. Breaking the inertial high-carbon development paths requires strong political support worldwide and at all levels. Greening strategies that do not take into account the political economy of the transition and the economic and social well-being of affected communities are therefore likely to be politically fragile and vulnerable to stalemates and reversals. In this context, calls for a just transition have been increasingly prominent in global, national and subnational policy circles.
An Equitable and Just Transition to Low-carbon Shipping
11月 2023
工作稿
The twenty-eighth session of the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change provides an opportunity to assess progress in decarbonization efforts in the shipping sector and adds further momentum to carbon reduction actions. As noted in this policy brief, taking swift measures to reduce the carbon footprint of this sector is instrumental’, given the economic role of the sector and the potential for the current carbon footprint to grow in tandem with global economic growth and trade expansion.
Demographic Outlook for the Small Island Developing States: Implications of Population Trends for Building Resilience and Prosperity across SIDS
5月 2024
工作稿
Ten years ago, the United Nations celebrated the International Year of Small Island Developing States (SIDS). In the same year, the SIDS Accelerated Modalities of Action (SAMOA) Pathway, an ambitious 10-year action plan for SIDS, was adopted at the Third International Conference on SIDS held in Apia, Samoa, in 2014. The SAMOA Pathway identifies critical linkages between population and development in island states, most notably in the areas of health, gender equality and women’s rights and on the role of migrants in enhancing development in their communities of origin. Many of these linkages are also highlighted in the Antigua and Barbuda Agenda for SIDS (ABAS), along with emerging demographic issues that present new challenges and opportunities for the sustainable development of SIDS.
Enhancing Public Institutions’ Risk-informed Communication to address Multifaceted Crises for Disaster Risk Reduction, Resilience and Climate Action
1月 2024
工作稿
Risk-informed governance and a strong risk management framework are essential for ensuring disaster risk reduction (DRR) and resilience in rapidly changing and complex world. Governments and public institutions can use risk informed strategies for efficient decision-making and policy formulation in a world characterized by emerging challenges such as climate change, economic volatility, food insecurity and global health crises. Risk management is a key strategy to implement the principle of sound policy making, one of the 11 principles of effective governance for sustainable development. “Effective risk communication along the risk policy cycle is considered highly relevant for successful risk management, from prevention to response, preparation, review and monitoring of diverse risks.”
Preparing Cities for Climate Displacement: Insights from Anticipating Futures in Viet Nam and Pakistan
4月 2024
工作稿
Extreme weather events and rising sea levels are having an increasing impact on human mobility, especially within specific countries. In 2022, for example, there were 32.6 million disaster-induced displacements around the world, the highest figure seen in a decade, and 70 percent of these took place in Asia Pacific regions. Policy actors need to anticipate and prepare for future human mobility patterns exacerbated by the effects of climate change to ensure that those who move have their human rights protected and can contribute meaningfully to the communities in which they arrive. Knowing how to anticipate, invest and act on these futures now and needing to react to immediate priorities is, however, challenging. This paper outlines the promise of an anticipatory policy design approach that blends predictive analytics with qualitative foresight to provide the data and space that stakeholders need to effectively adapt and anticipate such events. The approach is introduced here as part of an initiative to analyse the scale and effects of migration to Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam and Karachi, Pakistan by 2050 as a result of the effects of climate change.
Accelerating the Green Transition: Socioecological Systems and the Future of Development
4月 2024
工作稿
The planetary crisis is the greatest challenge humanity has ever faced, an existential threat calling into question the future of civilization. Unless collective action is taken to halt and reverse the decline of the planet’s ecosystems, the road to 2030 will be defined by accelerating levels of social vulnerability, poverty and crisis. The polycrisis experienced in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region over the past decade is a case in point, providing critical insights on the role of ecological change in the emergence of complex multidimensional crises. This paper explores lessons and insights from a new generation of integrated local solutions that have emerged across the region to manage risks and build resilience and makes the case for a new systems orientation to development paradigms and practice to achieve goals of transformational change. In moving towards 2030, a new paradigm is needed in which development is seen no longer as a linear set of goals and targets but as the emergent property of a complex socioecological system.
Breaking the Disaster-response Cycle in SIDS: Aligning Financing to Urgent Climate Action
5月 2024
工作稿
This policy brief focuses on the specific issue of disaster-response for three reasons. First, the disaster-response cycle describes a well-documented pattern of fiscal surge and a crowding out effect over much needed adaptation investments; second, climate vulnerability will only increase the volatility of this cycle in the future, threatening both the prospects for sustainable and inclusive growth as well as an increasingly untenable trajectory for fiscal sustainability; and third, because fiscal and financial capital flows to SIDS pose a challenge to the international financial architecture at large. The characteristics of the problem are known, as well as the size of the fiscal and financial burdens; this is a problem that would not be a problem if the incentives for public and private capital flows were aligned in the right direction. This presents a challenge for the multilateral system at large.
Towards Resilient and Equitable Development in Costa Rica with Women and Nature at the Forefront
6月 2023
工作稿
In recent years, the Government of Costa Rica has recognized the importance of promoting gender equality and women empowerment in the conservation and sustainable use of forests. Costa Rica recognizes that promoting gender equality implies not only mentioning the issue as a priority or as a principle, but also prioritizing the identification of relevant gender inequalities and proposing concrete actions to address them. This brief examines how the Government of Costa Rica, with support from UNDP, is addressing prevalent gender gaps, empowering women in the environmental sector, and comprehensively integrating gender into environmental policies, governance and finance. This, in turn, has resulted in an innovative and gender-responsive offer of environmental incentives in the country that are scaling up results at an influential level, simultaneously increasing women’s economic empowerment, promoting sustainable use of forests and combating climate change.
Multidimensional Vulnerability and Sovereign Debt
8月 2022
工作稿
Lack of fiscal space and the risk of sovereign debt distress remain key stumbling blocks to achieving Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in developing countries. Because the allocation of concessional funds and debt relief is essentially reserved to Low Income countries (LICs), official financing strategies and mechanisms to support developing countries provide insufficient support to non-LICs that may need and deserve special consideration concerning official financing. This paper discusses how official financial support allocation could consider countries’ vulnerabilities in critical dimensions, with special reference to Small Island Developing States (SIDS). It explores how a multidimensional vulnerability indexes (MVI) could be used to expand the access of vulnerable countries to official financing, including concessional financing, and facilitate constructive debt restructuring when they need it.
Women as Agents of Change for Greening Agriculture and Reducing Gender Inequality
6月 2023
工作稿
The policy brief highlights the essentiality of women in agriculture and their potential role in shifting to sustainable agriculture, increasing food security and increasing agricultural productivity when they have access and ability to adopt innovative agriculture techniques such as climate-smart agriculture practices (CSA). This policy brief identifies key actions that can remove barriers or women in agriculture, including collection of gender disaggregated data for gender-sensitive planning, research analysis, advocacy for equitable access to productive assets, capacity building and awareness raising, and cross-sector collaborations to enable gender-equitable access to infrastructure, financial capital, productive assets and other services.
Harnessing Regional Integration and Green Industrial Policy for Enhancing Sustainable Development in Latin America
3月 2025
工作稿
Latin America, endowed with a rich renewable energy matrix and abundant critical minerals, is well positioned to embark on green transition. Sowing the seeds for a greener future, however, requires its economies to think about energy transition not simply in terms of carbon mitigation but also in terms of overcoming hurdles to green economic transformation. This brief discusses the importance of industrial policy and of regional integration aimed at exploiting complementarities.
Fostering Environmentally Sustainable Electronic Commerce
2月 2025
工作稿
Electronic commerce (e-commerce) is reshaping the global economy, transforming consumption patterns while driving economic growth. The value of the sector rivals that of global trade in goods and services, and keeps expanding. E-commerce platforms help millions of businesses, many of which are small and medium-sized enterprises, sell online, overcoming barriers such as physical market access, infrastructure gaps and social constraints. However, the benefits of e-commerce remain uneven, with most developing countries lagging in the adoption of online shopping. It is also critical to ensure that this global transformation does not compromise environmental sustainability. The environmental impact of e-commerce depends on the type; business-to-consumer e-commerce implies a growing number of smaller packages, deliveries and returns, while business-to-business e-commerce may be more efficient, with bulk orders requiring less packaging and allowing for streamlined delivery. The different stages of the business-to-consumer e-commerce logistics chain for goods (warehousing, packaging, transport, returns) are examined in this policy brief, along with changing consumer behaviour. In addition, the need to rethink these elements is highlighted, to reduce the environmental footprint of e-commerce, while creating a regulatory framework that balances environmental sustainability with economic growth.
Thematic Bonds and How to Deliver More Sustainable Finance in Developing Economies
6月 2024
工作稿
Sustainability-themed bonds are growing in popularity, including among development practitioners who view them as promising instruments in the delivery of more, especially climate, finance in developing economies. This UNDP Development Futures Working Paper provides an overview of the thematic bonds market and a discussion of issuer incentives as well as some of the main challenges related to additionality and credibility. To improve the potential of thematic bonds as a tool for sustainable and equitable development, the paper proposes five features that any official sector-supported model should prioritize. These features aim to deliver substantially lower funding costs for ‘green activities’ and improve market access as well as the credibility of bonds, which include strengthening issuer commitments to ambitious targets and incentives to implement climate-friendly policies. Finally, it is important to recognize the limitations of donor-supported models. High debt burdens in many countries limit the use of debt instruments, and these will compete for limited official sector funds with other, potentially fairer, means of delivering climate finance.
Multilevel Governance for Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation
8月 2024
工作稿
Climate change is the defining issue of our time, and we are at a critical moment. It intensifies heatwaves, droughts, flooding, wildfires and famines, while threatening to submerge low-lying countries and cities and drive more species to extinction. It also threatens food supply and food security. The Climate Change 2023 Synthesis Report of the IPCC1 highlights the unequal contributions to global greenhouse gas emissions, driven by unsustainable energy and land use, as well as consumption patterns. Human-caused climate change is already impacting weather extremes globally, leading to widespread adverse impacts, especially affecting vulnerable communities. Tackling climate change demands a paradigm shift in mitigation and adaptation measures, policy coherence, institutional arrangements, and coordination across national, regional, and local levels. Multilevel governance, including commonly used strategies to operationalize the principle of subsidiarity, is foundational to the global effort to combat climate change, recognizing that effective action requires collaboration and coordination across various levels of government, as well as with non-state actors. The principle of equity needs to be applied to the design of existing multilevel governance arrangements for addressing climate change, particularly when costs and benefits are often highly concentrated. It emphasizes the importance of considering equity in decision-making processes and the allocation of resources to address climate change effectively and fairly.
Reimagining Financing for the SDGs - From Filling Gaps to Shaping Finance
1月 2025
工作稿
The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals are dangerously off track. The prevailing “gap-filling” approach to SDG financing has proven inadequate, failing to deliver the scale, impact or equity required. Global efforts remain fixated on mobilizing additional financing rather than embedding the SDGs at the core of economic and financial systems. Blended finance, often heralded as a silver bullet, has fallen short: public resources dominate blended deals, often de-risking private initiative in lower-risk, lower-impact projects. To redirect this trajectory, the international financing architecture must be reshaped around the SDGs. First, the SDGs must be placed at the centre of economic planning, supported by robust public investment pipelines. These pipelines enable the public sector to guide and strategically mobilize private investment toward high-impact, mission-driven projects. Second, SDG-anchored conditionalities should be embedded across public-private ventures to ensure concessional public finance actively steers investments, rather than merely subsidizing private returns. Third, mechanisms to socialize risks and rewards must be introduced, reinvesting returns to scale transformative SDG financing. Finally, while mobilizing additional financing remains critical, an equally pressing challenge lies in effectively utilizing significant public funds already available in budgets and development bank balance sheets.
Leveraging Critical Energy Transition Minerals
2月 2025
工作稿
The rapid adoption of renewable energy technologies and the transition away from fossil fuels are vital for combating climate change. Achieving net-zero carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions by 2050 will require much faster deployment of clean energy technologies, including wind turbines, solar panels, electric vehicles (EVs) and battery storage systems. This shift is fueling a sharp rise in demand for critical energy transition minerals such as copper, cobalt, lithium, nickel, and rare earth elements, particularly as developing countries work to achieve universal energy access and diversify their economies. For instance, an onshore wind power plant requires nine times more mineral inputs than a gas-fired plant of the same capacity, while an EV needs six times more minerals than a conventional car. Additionally, the average mineral requirement for new power generation capacity increased by 50 per cent during the 2010s, driven by the growing share of renewables in total capacity additions. Against this backdrop, countries rich in critical mineral resources have an opportunity to unlock significant development benefits. These minerals can attract foreign and domestic investment, create jobs, and boost fiscal revenues, exports, and overall economic growth. However, quantifying the economic scale of the mining industry remains challenging, especially due to the volatility of mineral prices, which directly impact valuations.
How Shocks Turn into Crises: National Policies for Advancing Social Development in Turbulent Times
12月 2024
工作稿
Shocks and crises have become more frequent, intense and widespread in an interconnected world, affecting more people across the globe. Crises that might have previously remained relatively contained within a well-defined geographic region, are now propagated rapidly through globally interconnected systems and networks in areas such as economics, finance, the environment and health. The 2008 Global Financial Crisis is an example of how financial shocks spread through the interconnected balance sheets of financial institutions, causing havoc around the world. The COVID-19 pandemic also shows how national health systems were unable to absorb the effects of the virus, which spread quickly through a dense global transportation network before disrupting highly concentrated economic and financial networks and killing more than 7 million people. Looking toward the Second World Summit for Social Development in 2025, this policy brief focuses on explaining how shocks turn into crises and how national policies, supported by the international community, can help counter shocks, build resilience, and advance social development objectives, namely eradicating poverty, promoting full and productive employment, and fostering social inclusion in times of converging crises.
Global Action is Needed to Advance Social Development Amidst Converging Crises
10月 2024
工作稿
The recent confluence of crises – the COVID-19 pandemic, violent conflicts, and climate change – has caused severe setbacks to central objectives of social development, such as poverty eradication, employment generation, inequality reduction, and building inclusive societies. People and societies in vulnerable situations have been hit the hardest by the converging crises. There are indications that shocks and crises are becoming ever more frequent, severe, and far-reaching – driven by the worsening effects of climate change, the growing probability of pandemics, growing geopolitical tensions, and increasingly dense global networks of trade, finance and transport. The effects of these converging crises can be severe and long-lasting, as they may exhaust public and private response capacities, cause economic scarring, and trap people in a cycle of poverty. The World Social Report (WSR 2024) estimates that the potential cumulative global economic output loss could be over $50 trillion in the 2020–2030 period, an indication of lost opportunities for social development. National social protection mechanisms can help to protect and further advance social development. These mechanisms, by limiting the adverse impacts of shocks and crises, especially on people in vulnerable situations, and by supporting short-term recovery, enhance longer-term resilience and foster sustainable and inclusive growth. Yet only 47 per cent of the global population and as few as 13 per cent in low-income countries, are estimated to have access to at least one social protection benefit. At the same time, converging crises may increase the cost of providing adequate and universal social protection, while also depleting public financial resources. As a result, many developing countries, including most low- and lower-middle-income countries, would find it difficult to achieve universal social protection by 2030 without additional international support
Aligning Carbon Markets With Sustainable Development Goals in the Least Developed Countries
12月 2024
工作稿
Carbon trading under Article 6 of the Paris Agreement presents opportunities and risks for the least developed countries (LDCs). Rather than participating in carbon markets in an ad-hoc fashion, LDCs should build a policy framework that integrates carbon trading into existing development policy and climate policy strategies. The international community can support LDCs through enhanced capacity-building and by strengthening the integrity of carbon markets. This policy brief outlines key benefits, challenges, and policy recommendations for LDCs and development partners to mitigate risks associated with carbon trading under Article 6 and ensure that carbon markets support sustainable development in LDCs.
‘Eco-Conscious Kofi and Ama’
2月 2022
工作稿
The Accelerator Lab conducted an online survey to collect data on segregation and recycling, particularly of plastic. This report highlights some key results. Results suggest that households and businesses prefer their recyclable waste to be collected at their doorsteps, instead of taking it to recycling points. Typically, this is linked to issues of accessibility (location of recycling points), affordability (perceived costs of the journey to recycling points - including time), and the existence of alternatives (including whether there is a recyclable waste collection service in place).
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