No Poverty
Leaving No One Behind (LNOB): A Pathway that Delivers
Oct 2025
Working Paper
Amid uneven SDG progress and overlapping crises, efforts to deliver sustainable development that leaves no one behind continue to face persistent, intersecting barriers—even where commitments are strong. Consider, for example, the experience of a woman with a disability in an informal settlement: she cannot afford assistive devices, faces inaccessible infrastructure, encounters weak enforcement of rules, experiences hiring bias and may struggle to evacuate during an earthquake. This scenario shows how multiple barriers converge to deepen exclusion. This policy brief highlights five dimensions where exclusion is often observed—affordability, access, governance, participation and external shocks, among others—and illustrates how governments are responding in each through policy examples and observations. Insights are drawn from 2024–2025 country implementation updates from thirteen countries that announced commitments at the 2023 SDG Summit, as well as 2025 Voluntary National Review (VNR) reports from three additional countries3 with such commitments. The analysis is intended to inform global policy discussions, including, as relevant, the World Social Summit under the title Second World Summit for Social Development.
Mapping of Financing Instruments and Practice for MSMEs in the Republic of Moldova
Apr 2022
Working Paper
The report represents a comprehensive research of financing practices and the outlook of micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) in the Republic of Moldova. The research involves mapping the financing instruments used, identifying current barriers and success factors, and assessing current practical gaps. The study presents policy and programmatic recommendations to enhance access to finance and to identify opportunities and entry points for UNDP intervention with the purpose of filling the funding gap created by the COVID-19 crisis and nurturing sustainability and further development and growth of MSMEs.
Poverty and Disability: Evidence from Africa
Nov 2025
Working Paper
This paper examines the relationship between disability and poverty among working-age adults in Africa, using nationally representative household surveys from 27 countries that include the Washington Group Short Set of Questions on Functioning. The paper provides the most comprehensive cross-country analysis of disability in Africa to date, documenting disability prevalence, sociodemographic patterns, and the association between disability and poverty at both national and regional levels. Results show that disability is more common among women, rural residents, and older adults, and is closely linked with poverty. Prevalence is 3.6 per cent among women compared to 2.3 per cent among men, 3.4 per cent in rural areas versus 2.6 per cent in urban areas, and 4.4 per cent among adults aged 34–49 compared to 2.3 per cent among those aged 18–33. Weighted probit regressions demonstrate a robust association between disability and an elevated risk of both asset poverty and multidimensional poverty in most countries, even after adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics. These findings underscore the imperative to systematically mainstream disability inclusion into national poverty reduction strategies and directly address the needs of persons with disabilities through targeted interventions.
Transnistrian Economic Reality, December 2022
Dec 2022
Working Paper
The periodical publication “Transnistrian Economic Reality” identifies the most important economic developments in the eastern districts of the Republic of Moldova. The new issue was developed under the “Confidence Building Measures” Programme, funded by the European Union and implemented by the United Nations Development Programme. The opinions expressed in this document belong to the authors and are not necessarily the opinions of the European Union or of the United Nations Development Programme. The authors are also aware of possible risks related to the quality of statistical data, which were used with extreme caution.
Avoiding ‘Too Little Too Late’ on International Debt Relief
Oct 2022
Working Paper
This paper takes stock of the unfolding debt crisis across developing low- and middle-income countries and discusses how to break with the inertia in debt restructurings under the Common Framework for Debt Treatments (CF). Using data on credit ratings, debt sustainability ratings, and sovereign bond spreads the paper identifies 54 developing economies with severe debt problems. Given the global outlook of low growth and high interest rates, the international community must urgently step-up debt relief efforts to avert a deepening development crisis. The paper proposes a way forward for the CF focusing on issues of official creditor coordination, private creditor participation, and the use of state-contingent debt clauses that target future economic and fiscal resilience. Fundamentally, the paper argues that the focus must shift from debt rescheduling to comprehensive restructuring involving write-offs allowing countries a faster return to growth, financial markets, and development progress. A structurally different future of tighter funding conditions and higher frequency of climate disasters will require a re-think and ramp-up of official sector concessional lending to vulnerable developing economies.
Uneven Recovery in Latin America and the Caribbean: Was the Early Childhood Left Behind During the Pandemic?
Jan 2023
Working Paper
From a policy perspective, interventions promoting early childhood development have proven to generate the highest returns to human capital accumulation. Investing in early childhood improves long-term educational and labor outcomes by stimulating children’s mental and physical abilities, and may also bring about positive externalities by facilitating the participation of other adult household members in the labor market. Thus, it becomes urgent to grasp the impact of the pandemic and the subsequent lockdowns on the welfare of younger children. To this effect, this note uses the early childhood module included in the second wave of HFPS surveys, which covers children below school age for each country. According to this data, 27.4 percent of households had at least one child under the age of five by late 2021.
Municipal Development During COVID
Oct 2022
Working Paper
The set of publications studies the experience of local authorities in Georgia during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic (the first half of 2020). It identifies changes in the management processes of municipalities and measures the impact of the pandemic on budget revenues and expenditures. The documents include an economic assessment of regions and municipalities highlighting the achievements and challenges that are compared with international experiences. The publications were prepared with assistance from the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), the Swiss Agency for Development Cooperation (SDC), the Austrian Development Cooperation (ADC), and the Ministry of Regional Development and Infrastructure of Georgia.
Recommendations to Support Public-Private Partnerships at the Local Level
Oct 2022
Working Paper
This publication includes a detailed analysis of the legal and institutional systems for public-private partnerships (PPP) in Georgia, a centralized approach to decision-making on PPP projects, the assessment of the results of the local PPP structures and operations as well as the strengths and weaknesses of public-private partnerships in the country and international experience. The publication was prepared with assistance from the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), the Swiss Agency for Development Cooperation (SDC), the Austrian Development Cooperation (ADC), and the Ministry of Regional Development and Infrastructure of Georgia.
Economic Governance in the Sahel: Scene-Setting and Thematic Reflections
Feb 2023
Working Paper
Global socioeconomic circumstances continue to change and evolve, necessitating reactive and proactive adjustment of economic governance frameworks. In the short and medium term, governance modifications are triggered by new and episodic factors. The current relevant factors include the COVID 19 pandemic, and the ‘cost of living crisis’, the later partly caused by the 2022 Russia-Ukraine war, which has disrupted supplies of fuel, food and fertiliser, amongst other things. Megatrends in regional and global production, consumption and economics give rise to new governance components and indicators, which are added to revised and updated implementation, monitoring and review mechanisms. This evolutionary pattern applies to the Sahel as its takes place regionally and globally.
Report on Energy Poverty Assessment and Support Mechanisms in the Republic of Moldova
Sep 2022
Working Paper
This report offers an overview of approaches to energy poverty, and support mechanisms targeting energy poverty in the Republic of Moldova. Energy poverty is a widespread issue in Europe, but Moldova is particularly affected by it since the COVID-19 crisis, and the energy crisis at the end of 2021. The main findings present three approaches to measure energy poverty, while also highlight that the overall patterns of energy poverty show that rural inhabitants, women, and people with disabilities are particularly affected by energy poverty in the Republic of Moldova. The analyses and recommendations were used to formulate policy recommendations for the Government to effectively address energy poverty with the most appropriate social policy compensation mechanism.
Municipal Waste Management Services in Georgia
Oct 2022
Working Paper
The publication informs stakeholders engaged in waste collection and recovery functions in Georgia on what it takes to develop and implement a waste management collection and recovery system that adheres to local and national policies and international practices. The publication was prepared by an international consultant Panos Liverakos with assistance from the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), the Swiss Agency for Development Cooperation (SDC), the Austrian Development Cooperation (ADC), and the Ministry of Regional Development and Infrastructure of Georgia.
The Social Benefits Study for Priority Amendments to the Law on Social and Child Protection
Jul 2022
Working Paper
The Study proposes the priority, financially sustainable social cash transfers/benefits amendments to the Law on Social and Child Protection. It is entirely based on the real evidence-based data and simulations generated through Social Welfare Information System (SWIS) – e-Social Card, and it offers an overview of social transfers, and it covers the following major issues: Who are the citizens in social (financial) need who are not eligible for family allowance due to rigorous legal requirements? By analysis of the rejected applications (non-eligible) it determines so-called exclusion error from the social protection system. Those are citizens who consider themselves to be in social need and apply for the cash transfer (means-tested) but are rejected based on the legally set restrictive eligibility criteria (assets, income). The last resort work-unable beneficiaries’ caseload was also analysed for the first time. The Study provides multiple cash transfers analysis, analysis of the financial (means-tested) situation of personal disability allowance beneficiaries and trends of one-off cash assistance as of an indicator of the crises impact.
Moldova: Potential Impacts of Increased Food and Energy Prices on Poverty and Vulnerability
Jun 2022
Working Paper
The current scenario of increased food and energy prices and the possibility that it will persist or worsen throughout the year because of the war in Ukraine threatens household welfare in Moldova. Under the food and energy inflation levels recorded in February 2022 (23% and 29.4% increase in prices, respectively), the number of people living in poverty could increase by about 250,000 people. Under a more extreme scenario equivalent to twice those levels of inflation, the increase in the number of poor people could reach up to 550,000.
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