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- Volume 27, Issue 2, 2020
Transnational Corporations - Volume 27, Issue 2, 2020
Volume 27, Issue 2, 2020
Transnational Corporations is a longstanding policy-oriented refereed research journal on issues related to investment, multinational enterprises and development. It is an official journal of the United Nations, managed by UNCTAD. As such it has a global reach, a strong development policy imprint, and high potential for impact beyond the scholarly community. In this paper, we explore the relationship between tax haven use and foreign direct investment (FDI) in developing countries, which are often characterized by weak institutions, market imperfections and a propensity for significant capital flight.
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Articles: The relationship between MNE tax haven use and FDI into developing economies characterized by capital flight
Authors: Ali Ahmed Howlader, Chris Jones and Yama TemouriThe use of tax havens by multinationals is a pervasive activity in international business. However, we know little about the complementary relationship between tax haven use and foreign direct investment (FDI) in the developing world. Drawing on internalization theory, we develop a conceptual framework that explores this relationship and allows us to contribute to the literature on the determinants of tax haven use by developed-country multinationals. Using a large, firm-level data set, we test the model and find a strong positive association between tax haven use and FDI into countries characterized by low economic development and extreme levels of capital flight. This paper contributes to the literature by adding an important dimension to our understanding of the motives for which MNEs invest in tax havens and has important policy implications at both the domestic and the international level.
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Employment and state incentives in transition economies: Are subsidies for FDI ineffective? The case of Serbia
Author: Uros DelevicThis study analyses the effects of government subsidies for foreign direct investment (FDI) on employment at the municipal level in Serbia. It finds that the positive correlation of subsidies with employment is limited to the creation of subsidized jobs. In other words, subsidies are ineffective in creating additional jobs, beyond the jobs created by subsidized multinational enterprises (MNEs). There is no crowding-in and there is some evidence of crowding-out in the least developed municipalities. The municipalities that received subsidized investments did not experience higher employment in comparison with the period of no subsidies and in comparison with municipalities that never received subsidized investments. Some positive effects emerge, with a two-year lag, in the municipalities which, conditional on the level of development, lowered wages. The key policy implication is that subsidy-driven FDI policy, based on financial subsidies per job created, does not lead to a sustained employment growth pattern. Policymakers might need to target high value-adding activities of MNEs that induce the creation of domestic value added.
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The intersection of public procurement law and policy, and international investment law
Author: Dominic Npoanlari DagbanjaThere is substantial scholarship on the limitations that international investment agreements (IIAs) place on States authority to regulate in the public interest. An area of fundamental importance that has not received scholarly attention in connection with IIAs is public procurement regulation. Given that public procurement is about the needs of States and their citizens, States would want to retain their authority within municipal public procurement laws to decide with whom to contract to meet those needs, and to pursue socioeconomic and industrial policies through procurement. However, most States are parties to IIAs, which impose obligations on them with respect to the protection of foreign investment. This article explores this seminal issue of whether IIAs stand to limit the authority of States in the implementation of procurement legislation and policies. Based on textual analysis and arbitral case study, it argues that treaty-based standards of investment protection can limit States authority on the implementation of methods of procurement (such as national competitive tendering or restricted tendering) and socioeconomic policies in procurement. A question that needs fuller engagement is the extent of conflict between specific IIAs and public procurement laws and policies, either regionally or globally, and how to reconcile conflicting obligations to promote foreign investment and sustainable development. This article provides the foundation for such future research.
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Focused section: Perspectives on COVID-19 and international production: Introduction to the focused section: COVID-19 and international production
Authors: James X. Zhan, Isidore S. Obot, Amelia U. Santos-Paulino and Heinz TüselmannThe global economy is in the midst of a severe crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. The immediate impact on international production is dramatic. Projections in the World Investment Report 2020 (WIR2020) show a decline in FDI of up to 40 per cent this year, with no recovery expected until 2022 (Figure 1).
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Rising regionalization: Will the post-COVID-19 world see a retreat from globalization
Authors: Peter Enderwick and Peter J. BuckleyConcerns regarding the operation of the global economy mean that recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic is unlikely to see a return to the previous globalization wave. We suggest that there is an opportunity to address some of the weaknesses of globalization through a more regionally-based world economy offering a better balance between national and international interests, efficiency and resilience in global supply chains, and between growth, inclusiveness, and equity impacts.
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Implications of the COVID-19 pandemic for human rights and modern slavery vulnerabilities in global value chains
Author: Hinrich VossThe COVID-19 pandemic has revealed vulnerabilities and fragilities in global value chains. The worldwide economic lockdowns to contain COVID-19 have led in some industries to unilateral cancellations and suspensions of orders from overseas suppliers by transnational corporations (TNCs). These decisions are argued to be in conflict with the UN Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights, the Sustainable Development Goals, and related national laws because they have contributed to the risk that the human rights of workers will be violated and that they will become victims of modern slavery. In response, international business policies that target the conduct of TNCs and global value chains need to be reconsidered to achieve global value chain integration while strengthening local bargaining, affording sustainable growth, and protecting human rights.
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The rising tensions between efficiency and resilience in global value chains in the post-COVID-19 world
Authors: Ismail Gölgeci, Harun Emre Yildiz and Ulf AnderssonThis paper explores the rising tensions between efficiency and resilience in global value chains (GVCs) in the post-COVID-19 world and discusses their potential implications for managing and coordinating GVCs. It considers efficiency and resilience in GVCs in relation to each other and explores the possibility of tensions between the two concepts. Particularly, it is argued that, while efficiency and resilience in GVCs may be at odds with each other in the short-term, they are not necessarily mutually exclusive in the long run. The paper adds to the discussions of trade-offs involved in managing contemporary GVCs and offers a new perspective on the interplay between efficiency and resilience. Embedded in the discussion of resilience vis-à-vis efficiency, we also provide a long-term perspective to prepare for and deal with global pandemics or other risks in an increasingly interconnected world. We lay out decisions and steps involved in finding the balance between efficiency and resilience, as both need to be maintained concurrently over longer periods.
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Meta-trends in global value chains and development: Interacting impacts with COVID-19 in Africa
Author: Pádraig CarmodyHow will the COVID-19 pandemic affect prospects for foreign investment and development in Africa? In part this depends on its interaction with pre-existing meta-trends in the global economy, such as the coming Fourth Industrial Revolution (4IR). It will also depend on the nature of revisions to political settlements in Africa arising from the pandemic. This paper explores these issues through an examination of the direct and indirect economic impacts of the pandemic and their likely interaction with meta-trends in the global economy. In particular it argues that while there is still an important role for foreign investment, the crisis also creates opportunities for more domestically-focused investment and production.
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Digital transformation of global value chains and sustainable post-pandemic recovery
Author: Xiaolan FuThis perspective paper examines the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global production and trade from the perspective of global value chains. Particular attention is paid to the transmission mechanisms and the role of digital technology in sustainable post-pandemic economic recovery. It argues that emerging technologies will be a driver of the global economic recovery, while the challenge to sustainable and inclusive global development will be significant, especially with regard to inequality and job creation. Also discussed are policy implications, to ensure this recovery is inclusive and sustainable, not leaving any country or people behind.
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Promoting African digital multinationals for a more inclusive post-pandemic future
Author: Kevin I.N. IbehThis paper advances policies for promoting the intraregional and international investment prospects of African digital multinationals in the post-pandemic era. Based on the building blocks of organizational capabilities, funding access, digital infrastructure and regulation, it advocates for a more globally inclusive investment landscape in which African-born digital multinationals would no longer be a rarity. Against the backdrop of the COVID-19 crisis and its amplification of humankinds shared and digital future, policymakers and influential stakeholders at all levels are challenged to intensify the push for a more inclusive global digital economy.
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UNCTAD Insights: Assessing the impact of foreign ownership on firm performance by size: Evidence from firms in developed and developing countries
Authors: S. Selsah Pasali and Arslan ChaudharyForeign direct investment (FDI) flows are frequently credited with a wide range of benefits for recipient economies. This research investigates the impact mechanics of FDI by mapping the extent to which firms are owned by foreigners against their performance. Firms in both developed and developing countries are included in the study and the performance indicators used are growth in sales, employment and labour productivity. Based on data from more than 80,000 firms during the period 2010 to 2019, this research is unique because it compares the performance of foreign-owned and domestic firms of different sizes. While the preliminary results show foreign ownership overall does give firms an edge on performance, there is no consistent evidence that this is so by firm size. However, across all developing regions, the study consistently finds that foreign ownership has a positive impact on the sales and productivity growth of micro-size firms. This calls for more research on and policy experimentation with outward-oriented and innovative start-ups.
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