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Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure
Female-headed single-parent households and poverty in Costa Rica
Average real family incomes rose in Costa Rica in the late 1990s and at the start of the new decade but poverty rates did not fall. Here it is argued that economic growth in the country did not translate into reduced poverty during this period because of changes that took place in household structure and in the labour market and that these changes had an important gender dimension Specifically a rising proportion of female-headed single-parent households led to an increase in the number of women with children entering the labour force many of them for the first time. Many of these mothers were unable to find or unwilling to accept full-time work in the higher-paying formal sector and ended up unemployed or working part-time as self-employed workers. These labour market phenomena contributed to low incomes for vulnerable households especially single-parent households headed by women.
The macroeconomics of the Latin American economic boom
This paper argues that the recent boom in the Latin American economies can be explained by the conjunction of two external factors not found together since the 1970s: strong commodity prices (more so for hydrocarbons and mining products than for agricultural commodities) and exceptional external financing conditions. Concerning the latter the key development was the massive influx of capital during two periods of “exuberance” in international financial markets (between mid-2004 and April 2006 and between mid-2006 and mid-2007) particularly the second. It also argues for the importance of spreading and consolidating Latin America’s two great (and complementary) macroeconomic policy innovations of recent years: countercyclical fiscal management (still confined to just a few countries) and active intervention in currency markets. Such intervention needs to be based on a growing recognition that the real exchange rate ought to be an explicit goal of macroeconomic policy.
Trade policy reform and poverty: Successes and failures in Central America
During the past two decades trade regimes in Latin America have been reformed to facilitate export-led growth in the expectation that the benefits of this growth would eventually trickle down and thereby help the poor. These goals have been achieved to differing degrees. Their accomplishment has depended not only upon the effectiveness of the trade policy reforms but also upon exchange-rate policy external shocks and remittance inflows. Technological change has also been crucial when it comes to capitalizing on the benefits of the reforms. These assertions are substantiated using simulation results from a computable general equilibrium model solved with data for Costa Rica El Salvador and Honduras. The model is combined with a microsimulation methodology to capture the full distributive implications of simulated policy and external shocks.
The financial protection impact of the public health system and private insurance in Brazil
This research assesses the effectiveness of the Brazilian public health system and of private insurance in Brazil in providing financial protection in health care. The determinants of catastrophic health expenditures are estimated by probit regressions with Heckman selection adjustment controlling for health-care need. Findings show that the public system provides a significant reduction (47%) in the probability of a household having catastrophic health expenditures and that private insurance makes such expenditures more likely by 36%. Recommendations include improvements in the quantity accessibility quality and reliability of public providers more appropriate provision of drugs by the public system and tighter regulation of private insurance.
Inequality, institutions and progress: A debate between history and the present
This article analyses current attempts to interpret the factors underlying long-term economic growth paying special attention to the Latin American case. It discusses both the interpretations whose advocates claim that geographic conditions have a decisive role in shaping the development process and those according to which colonization is seen as giving rise to an institutional framework ill-suited for development. The author -based on his own estimates- emphasizes the importance of market access and the effect of social fragmentation on the establishment of an efficient and credible institutional framework. The article concludes with a discussion of the impact of inequality on both the quality of institutions and the dynamics of growth.
ECLAC in its historical setting
This lecture discusses the features of the colonial situation in Latin America that conditioned the region’s economic and social performance in the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. It deals in particular with Argentina looking at the events following the First World War through to the beginning of the Second World War. Those events were formative in the education and experience of Raúl Prebisch who 30 years later would give ECLAC its fundamental characteristics. The lecture examines the ideas that ECLAC contributed to the debate on Latin American development and the evolution of the countries that applied those ideas. It also looks at the external and internal circumstances that changed the context in which development policies were implemented from the middle of the 1970s onwards. Lastly it identifies the most recent changes in the world economic situation and the role of ECLAC in defending the ideas of freedom well-being and tolerance which are the essence of modern civilization.
Trade and investment rules: Latin American perspectives
This paper depicts the changing international landscape of investment rule-making from a Latin American perspective. It does so by looking first at the recent evolution of investment rules pointing out differences and synergies between these closely intertwined processes and the role that Latin American countries have had in shaping them. Against the backdrop of repeated failures to develop a comprehensive set of investment disciplines at the multilateral level the paper reviews the main arguments that have been recently advanced in favour of and against global rules for investment. The paper dissects the main reasons why investment fell off the negotiating agenda of the Doha Development Agenda of the World Trade Organization (WTO). It concludes with a number of policy lessons regarding the most optimal institutional settings in which to pursue various elements of investment rule-making and sketches a few forward-looking scenarios on investment rule-making at the multilateral level.
The global crisis, speculative capital and innovative financing for development
One of the characteristics of globalization has been the marked volatility of financial flows. The realization that this was affecting growth and equity induced the International Conference on Financing for Development held in Monterrey in 2002 to adopt a global commitment to deal with the issue of development financing. Since then there has been a mixture of progress backsliding and inaction. This article conducts a brief review of financial globalization and the current global crisis. It then examines the Monterrey Consensus the evaluations by the United Nations Secretariat of compliance with the commitments accepted and the financial system reforms needed to make globalization more equitable. It then proceeds to a stocktaking of the progress made under a North-South collaboration initiative Action against Hunger and Poverty in applying “innovative financing mechanisms” that can contribute to attainment of the Millennium Development Goals and help developing countries cope with critical situations like the current global recession. It concludes with proposals for dealing with the challenges that remain.
Consolidating democracy and development in Chile
The transition to democracy in Chile has been achieved in an unusually rapid and successful manner. Its consolidation is only just beginning however and is faced with serious challenges which will call for extensive and complex efforts in the years to come.
Selectivity as the crux of social policies
The social cost of the crisis of the 1980s and the consequent application of adjustments to the economy has been giving rise to a number of problems in the region which together with the marked regression in the main vital indexes are causing fresh social tensions in the systems of institutions as weli as taking other forms of expression too despite the substantial advances made in the exercise of representative democracy in recent years.
Self-financing water supply and sanitation services
Financing investments in urban water supply and sanitation has been a perennial problem in all countries of Latin America and the Caribbean. The issue has increased in significance with the need to provide sewage treatment to reduce the gross pollution of many water bodies and to lessen the threat from waterborne diseases. In this paper the authors explore through a statistical analysis the practicability of financing water supply and sanitation services from income generated by the tariffs. Particular emphasis is placed on the possibility of the whole population paying for sanitation services: an issue of some importance given the unequal distribution of income in most cites of the region.
Productivity: Agriculture compared with the economy at large
This paper posits the need for a study in greater depth to identify the special features of the structurai heteroge* neity of the Latin American economies. Such a study is needed regardless of whether this phenomena is defined ultimately as the presence of marked inequalities in the productivity of labour between different sectors of the economy or whether the heterogeneity of the economies of Latin America is understood fundamentaliy as a significant relative lag of agriculture compared with other sectors of the economy.
Integration today: Bases and options
The idea of regional integration is deeply rooted in Latin America. It has been part of the proposals for the region’s development for decades past and now through a combination of domestic and external circumstances it occupies a leading place in the regional economic debate. It was a novel idea which through being applied only partially in so many cases gradually became an issue of the past: an empty prospect and a contradiction in its own terms.
Why are men so irresponsible?
This article seeks to answer the question posed in the title which refers in particular to men in the lower-class urban sectors. The statistics reflect a type of behavior marked by an avoidance of the obligations connected with the formation and maintenance of a family leading to an increase in rates of illegitimacy in the proportion of adolescent pregnancies and in the rates of abandonment of families with children.
The economic and social significance of narcotics
The production trafficking and abuse of drugs has attained enormous magnitude all over the world. In Latin America the problem has taken on very special implications because that is the region where the countries which are the biggest producers of coca leaves basic paste and cocaine are located.
Shaping competitiveness in the Chilean wood-processing industry
The neoliberal view is that outward orientation and general liberalization should result in efficient factor allocation and thus in the formation of competitive economic structures. Its policy recommendations are therefore generally in the “get prices right” mould.
The empty box syndrome
This article examines the thesis -posited in the book entitled “Changing Production Patterns with Social Equity” published by ECLAC- that no country in Latin America was successful in achieving high overall economic growth with a reduction of income inequalities in the 1980s. As compared to the experience of many countries in South East Asia this was a lost decade for the region. This situation in Latin America has been referred to by Fernando Fajnzylber as the “casillero vacío” or “empty box” syndrome. The examination presented here is based on a comprehensive set of 33 variables related to economic stabilization structural change overall economic growth and the standard of living. It is shown that many Latin American countries did indeed score relatively poorly as compared to Asian countries.
Growth and income distribution in countries at intermediate stages of development
This article analyses the relationship between growth and income distribution. The existence of a conflict between these two variables depends on a country’s level of development. Such conflicts arise during intermediate stages of development when growth is led by savings and tend to disappear when growth becomes a knowledge-led phenomenon. Part of the reason for this is that saving is much more concentrated than education and technology are. The author contends that the conflict is not insuperable however; in practical terms it can be corrected by means of fiscal and educational policy measures.
Integration and trade diversion
Regional integration has once again become an important issue for Latin America and the Caribbean. Compared with previous experiences however recent integration commitments have a number of new aspects in such areas as negotiating procedures the issues involved in the various agreements -some of which are as unprecedented as the adoption of common currencies the creation of binational companies common labour laws etc.- and the actual timing of these steps.
Industrial policy in Central America
The Central American countries have a 40-year tradition of cooperation based on bilateral and multilateral treaties the most important of which is the General Treaty on Central American Economic Integration under whose terms the Central American Common Market (CACM) was established in 196b. Nevertheless the industrial policies pursued by these countries since that time are notable for their lack of uniformity.