Identifying the gap
- Author: United Nations
- Main Title: Energy Transition Pathways for the 2030 Agenda in Asia and the Pacific , pp 22-27
- Publication Date: May 2018
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.18356/020bb9e4-en
- Language: English
The current policy scenario will almost miss universal access to electricity, leaving 63 million people without access, i.e., 28 million in South-East Asian and 20 million in East and North-East Asia. On the other hand, there will be a large gap in access to clean cooking fuel, leaving 1.6 billion people still cooking with traditional biomass and causing an estimated 2 million premature deaths from indoor pollution. The share of renewable energy will need to grow by 8 percentage points compared with the current policy scenario, which represents an increase of 15.2 percentage points over the 2014 share. To achieve the NDC scenario, the share of renewable energy will fall short of 21 percentage points compared with the current policy scenario. Energy intensity will fall short of 1.5 MJ per dollar, which is still half of the progress made during 1990-2014. The investment gap in renewable energy, compared with the current policy scenario, is estimated to be $101 billion and $282 billion for the SDG and NDC scenarios, respectively. In order to successfully implement the energy transition, a massive transformation of the existing policy frameworks is needed, such as aligning national energy policies with the 2030 Agenda and attracting private investment.
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