Post-transitional demographic regimes in the countries of the region

This chapter analyses the sharp fall in the total fertility rate to below replacement level in the countries of the region in recent years. It also reviews the years at which countries crossed key fertility thresholds, including the replacement level (2.1 children per woman), associated with zero long-term population growth, and the lowest-low fertility threshold, which may lead to rapid population decline. Lastly, it examines the main theories used to interpret this demographic shift in the context of below-replacement fertility.

Sustainable Development Goals:

Decent Work and Economic Growth

Reduced Inequalities